Softs — COT Positioning
CFTC Disaggregated Commitments of Traders · Combined Futures & Options
Week of July 17, 2026 Sugar · Cocoa · Frozen OJ
Data: CFTC weekly release
Market Positioning — Softs
Percentile rankings relative to full available history (2010–present) · Managed Money = hedge funds & CTAs · Commercial = producers, merchants & swap dealers
Sugar No. 11
CFTC Code 080732 · COT data through 2026-07-14
14.82 ¢/lb
MM Net Position
-94,593
Managed money long minus short
14th pct
MM Gross Long
188,662 cts
Managed money gross long contracts
76th pct
MM Gross Short
283,255 cts
Managed money gross short contracts
94th pct
MM Week-over-Week
+3,120
Change in managed money net
Open Interest
1,180,502 cts
Total open interest (all participants)
87th pct
Commercial Net
+39,500
Prod/merchant + swap dealer net
84th pct
Price WoW Change
-0.06 ¢/lb
-0.4%  ·  latest 14.82 ¢/lb
Managed money is Heavily Short (14th percentile) relative to the full history of this market. Managed money added 3,120 net contracts week-over-week. Commercial hedgers hold a net long position of 39,500 contracts. Open interest is at an elevated level historically (87th percentile).

Managed money (hedge funds & CTAs) net long position by week of year, overlapping across all available years. Extreme readings — especially multi-year highs or lows — historically coincide with price turning points.

Sugar No. 11 managed money net position by week
Date2026 ('000 cts)2025 ('000 cts)2024 ('000 cts)
Jan 06-142.947.518.2
Jan 13-139.4-0.515.9
Jan 20-148.8-51.714.8
Jan 27-139.2-49.528.9
Feb 03-187.4-53.143.8
Feb 10-211.8-45.255.1
Feb 17-241.8-10.960.0
Feb 24-241.151.356.9
Mar 03-248.334.970.6
Mar 10-211.118.345.5
Mar 17-204.766.252.2
Mar 24-76.891.355.5
Mar 31-49.696.168.5
Apr 07-65.394.889.2
Apr 14-142.350.478.4
Apr 21-189.645.934.9
Apr 28-187.334.511.7
May 05-114.111.30.0
May 12-100.520.4-9.8
May 19-84.018.8-19.1
May 26-92.35.6-38.4
Jun 02-122.5-18.4-42.2
Jun 09-130.3-38.5-49.7
Jun 16-153.1-73.5-37.3
Jun 23-185.5-85.6-20.7
Jun 30-150.6-112.8-4.4
Jul 07-97.7-99.735.6
Jul 14-94.6-94.639.0

Commercial hedger net position (producers, merchants, and swap dealers combined). Commercials are structurally short (forward sellers); a move toward net long is historically bullish.

Sugar No. 11 commercial net position by week
Date2026 ('000 cts)2025 ('000 cts)2024 ('000 cts)
Jan 06142.0-39.6-61.9
Jan 13154.017.3-54.4
Jan 20165.865.7-61.0
Jan 27148.254.0-77.0
Feb 03210.954.5-85.3
Feb 10231.142.6-89.1
Feb 17248.616.1-99.3
Feb 24244.4-50.1-76.6
Mar 03235.4-16.5-93.3
Mar 10189.1-6.8-55.9
Mar 17178.9-51.3-70.1
Mar 2436.6-70.1-76.5
Mar 3113.4-67.0-103.1
Apr 0735.9-47.3-120.1
Apr 14109.7-21.7-91.6
Apr 21144.6-20.2-28.7
Apr 28123.8-18.1-14.5
May 0552.4-2.2-3.8
May 1253.0-19.9-6.3
May 1938.9-7.814.8
May 2649.71.431.3
Jun 0284.326.428.9
Jun 0990.943.333.5
Jun 16113.157.519.3
Jun 23136.562.0-4.2
Jun 3081.189.2-36.6
Jul 0734.185.4-78.3
Jul 1439.572.0-74.8

Managed money gross long contracts by week of year. Elevated gross longs signal crowded positioning and potential liquidation pressure if sentiment shifts.

Sugar No. 11 managed money gross long by week
Date2026 ('000 cts)2025 ('000 cts)2024 ('000 cts)
Jan 06105.9151.293.2
Jan 13104.9134.489.5
Jan 20104.6122.987.5
Jan 27113.8121.093.5
Feb 03113.5118.2100.0
Feb 10122.8124.2108.8
Feb 17127.6127.7107.6
Feb 24133.4136.8111.0
Mar 03139.6124.0115.1
Mar 10141.9116.0112.5
Mar 17131.7135.5111.1
Mar 24149.4161.4112.0
Mar 31136.8167.6122.0
Apr 07129.6156.3135.6
Apr 14117.6140.7138.0
Apr 21118.5137.3131.3
Apr 28132.3133.2132.6
May 05171.3129.5130.0
May 12164.1134.3128.8
May 19173.7132.5129.1
May 26165.9134.0125.7
Jun 02149.1132.9127.0
Jun 09156.5133.5116.7
Jun 16151.4125.2114.7
Jun 23132.6120.4109.4
Jun 30155.1112.2109.1
Jul 07180.5123.4114.5
Jul 14188.7125.9108.6

Managed money gross short contracts by week of year. Elevated gross shorts represent potential short-covering fuel — a catalyst can force rapid buybacks and amplify a rally.

Sugar No. 11 managed money gross short by week
Date2026 ('000 cts)2025 ('000 cts)2024 ('000 cts)
Jan 06248.8103.875.0
Jan 13244.3134.973.6
Jan 20253.4174.672.7
Jan 27253.0170.564.6
Feb 03300.9171.356.2
Feb 10334.6169.453.8
Feb 17369.3138.647.6
Feb 24374.585.454.1
Mar 03387.989.044.5
Mar 10353.097.767.0
Mar 17336.469.459.0
Mar 24226.270.156.5
Mar 31186.471.553.5
Apr 07194.961.546.5
Apr 14260.090.359.6
Apr 21308.091.496.4
Apr 28319.798.7121.0
May 05285.4118.2130.0
May 12264.6113.9138.6
May 19257.7113.7148.1
May 26258.2128.4164.1
Jun 02271.6151.3169.2
Jun 09286.8172.1166.4
Jun 16304.6198.7152.0
Jun 23318.0206.0130.1
Jun 30305.7225.0113.5
Jul 07278.2223.178.9
Jul 14283.3220.569.6

Total open interest across all participant categories. Rising OI with a directional move confirms the trend; falling OI suggests position liquidation rather than new conviction.

Sugar No. 11 total open interest by week
Date2026 ('000 cts)2025 ('000 cts)2024 ('000 cts)
Jan 061,101.81,096.41,116.9
Jan 131,130.91,147.11,106.5
Jan 201,144.91,151.61,080.5
Jan 271,179.51,166.41,101.4
Feb 031,243.61,176.41,133.1
Feb 101,288.01,182.41,158.2
Feb 171,247.41,097.51,154.6
Feb 241,203.51,089.21,007.2
Mar 031,204.61,018.3991.5
Mar 101,203.31,005.81,018.6
Mar 171,173.31,036.2997.6
Mar 241,155.01,030.81,006.2
Mar 311,133.91,027.01,010.8
Apr 071,120.61,002.21,016.9
Apr 141,146.2962.61,006.6
Apr 211,159.0942.9958.5
Apr 281,153.4936.3975.9
May 051,191.8928.1983.1
May 121,184.0925.9977.9
May 191,187.8933.5991.7
May 261,182.7957.11,016.8
Jun 021,187.11,016.71,035.9
Jun 091,202.61,057.21,047.6
Jun 161,153.5987.41,028.0
Jun 231,159.8976.9951.5
Jun 301,164.4975.6944.8
Jul 071,187.8985.5928.7
Jul 141,180.5993.9920.2

Nearby futures price (SB=F). Price shown for context; COT positioning is the primary signal.

Cocoa
CFTC Code 073732 · COT data through 2026-07-14
5,610.00 $/mt
MM Net Position
-11,200
Managed money long minus short
18th pct
MM Gross Long
15,135 cts
Managed money gross long contracts
0th pct
MM Gross Short
26,335 cts
Managed money gross short contracts
41th pct
MM Week-over-Week
+2,550
Change in managed money net
Open Interest
272,953 cts
Total open interest (all participants)
62th pct
Commercial Net
+16,937
Prod/merchant + swap dealer net
93th pct
Price WoW Change
-309.00 $/mt
-5.2%  ·  latest 5,610.00 $/mt
Managed money is Heavily Short (18th percentile) relative to the full history of this market. Managed money added 2,550 net contracts week-over-week. Commercial hedgers hold a net long position of 16,937 contracts. Open interest is near historical average levels (62th percentile).

Managed money (hedge funds & CTAs) net long position by week of year, overlapping across all available years. Extreme readings — especially multi-year highs or lows — historically coincide with price turning points.

Cocoa managed money net position by week
Date2026 ('000 cts)2025 ('000 cts)2024 ('000 cts)
Jan 06-1.937.562.9
Jan 13-8.937.259.1
Jan 20-13.638.063.7
Jan 27-12.736.270.7
Feb 03-13.533.264.1
Feb 10-15.127.358.8
Feb 17-13.827.546.5
Feb 24-10.016.942.8
Mar 03-7.914.832.3
Mar 10-15.213.932.0
Mar 17-11.212.433.7
Mar 24-12.712.726.8
Mar 31-14.515.821.9
Apr 07-16.415.819.7
Apr 14-18.111.619.7
Apr 21-16.413.016.1
Apr 28-19.914.513.9
May 05-16.814.113.7
May 12-14.018.514.4
May 19-16.222.415.0
May 26-18.120.016.0
Jun 02-21.117.119.5
Jun 09-27.317.221.1
Jun 16-25.017.726.4
Jun 23-23.014.225.7
Jun 30-16.714.621.9
Jul 07-13.813.021.1
Jul 14-11.211.922.4

Commercial hedger net position (producers, merchants, and swap dealers combined). Commercials are structurally short (forward sellers); a move toward net long is historically bullish.

Cocoa commercial net position by week
Date2026 ('000 cts)2025 ('000 cts)2024 ('000 cts)
Jan 06-1.7-40.0-60.9
Jan 1313.5-40.2-55.8
Jan 2020.2-41.4-65.4
Jan 2717.5-38.9-72.1
Feb 0315.7-35.7-68.1
Feb 1016.8-28.1-62.3
Feb 1715.4-29.4-48.0
Feb 2410.8-18.6-43.3
Mar 0315.8-16.3-39.6
Mar 1020.3-15.2-37.8
Mar 1719.8-13.2-40.9
Mar 2421.6-14.9-33.9
Mar 3121.3-15.8-32.6
Apr 0724.9-18.7-30.4
Apr 1425.4-14.5-28.9
Apr 2122.1-16.1-28.3
Apr 2826.4-18.8-25.9
May 0523.1-18.7-20.7
May 1217.1-24.1-20.7
May 1920.0-25.1-20.2
May 2621.0-23.1-21.7
Jun 0222.9-22.5-24.9
Jun 0930.1-22.6-26.9
Jun 1627.0-22.1-30.6
Jun 2326.2-16.5-29.4
Jun 3020.5-17.3-25.2
Jul 0718.6-16.3-24.9
Jul 1416.9-16.2-27.0

Managed money gross long contracts by week of year. Elevated gross longs signal crowded positioning and potential liquidation pressure if sentiment shifts.

Cocoa managed money gross long by week
Date2026 ('000 cts)2025 ('000 cts)2024 ('000 cts)
Jan 0625.944.196.2
Jan 1319.543.292.8
Jan 2018.643.898.9
Jan 2718.841.9106.9
Feb 0319.938.798.6
Feb 1019.132.592.2
Feb 1720.332.673.8
Feb 2424.922.069.8
Mar 0328.319.456.9
Mar 1024.418.055.9
Mar 1725.217.956.8
Mar 2425.917.549.1
Mar 3125.920.142.9
Apr 0726.219.238.1
Apr 1426.215.137.1
Apr 2127.017.333.7
Apr 2826.019.030.4
May 0525.318.829.0
May 1221.923.426.7
May 1918.928.927.1
May 2618.426.327.1
Jun 0218.123.629.4
Jun 0916.624.730.1
Jun 1618.425.234.0
Jun 2316.822.035.0
Jun 3015.922.331.6
Jul 0715.820.530.6
Jul 1415.119.232.7

Managed money gross short contracts by week of year. Elevated gross shorts represent potential short-covering fuel — a catalyst can force rapid buybacks and amplify a rally.

Cocoa managed money gross short by week
Date2026 ('000 cts)2025 ('000 cts)2024 ('000 cts)
Jan 0627.96.533.2
Jan 1328.46.033.6
Jan 2032.25.835.2
Jan 2731.55.636.2
Feb 0333.45.434.5
Feb 1034.25.233.4
Feb 1734.15.127.3
Feb 2434.95.127.0
Mar 0336.24.724.6
Mar 1039.54.123.9
Mar 1736.45.523.1
Mar 2438.64.722.3
Mar 3140.44.321.0
Apr 0742.53.418.4
Apr 1444.33.517.4
Apr 2143.44.317.5
Apr 2845.94.516.4
May 0542.14.715.3
May 1235.94.912.4
May 1935.06.512.1
May 2636.56.211.2
Jun 0239.26.69.9
Jun 0943.97.49.0
Jun 1643.47.57.6
Jun 2339.87.89.4
Jun 3032.67.79.7
Jul 0729.67.69.4
Jul 1426.37.410.3

Total open interest across all participant categories. Rising OI with a directional move confirms the trend; falling OI suggests position liquidation rather than new conviction.

Cocoa total open interest by week
Date2026 ('000 cts)2025 ('000 cts)2024 ('000 cts)
Jan 06162.8178.6455.3
Jan 13176.9174.6455.1
Jan 20199.1175.2476.4
Jan 27214.4173.6492.5
Feb 03229.5176.0494.2
Feb 10239.6150.8455.7
Feb 17215.3146.7424.7
Feb 24241.9141.3407.3
Mar 03255.4134.0396.2
Mar 10254.3136.4369.8
Mar 17246.2137.1374.4
Mar 24251.5136.0382.9
Mar 31259.3142.3383.9
Apr 07263.8122.3335.2
Apr 14234.4116.3296.8
Apr 21234.0115.4286.0
Apr 28237.7117.6288.0
May 05253.2117.7268.3
May 12251.4126.3261.7
May 19246.8138.8253.3
May 26258.2133.1246.4
Jun 02262.3131.0271.2
Jun 09259.3130.4281.4
Jun 16235.3107.7237.5
Jun 23231.3108.5236.8
Jun 30243.1111.2220.7
Jul 07267.3115.9226.8
Jul 14273.0119.0230.0

Nearby futures price (CC=F). Price shown for context; COT positioning is the primary signal.

Frozen OJ
CFTC Code 040701 · COT data through 2026-07-14
139.35 ¢/lb
MM Net Position
-507
Managed money long minus short
28th pct
MM Gross Long
2,356 cts
Managed money gross long contracts
42th pct
MM Gross Short
2,863 cts
Managed money gross short contracts
78th pct
MM Week-over-Week
-648
Change in managed money net
Open Interest
10,422 cts
Total open interest (all participants)
4th pct
Commercial Net
-299
Prod/merchant + swap dealer net
78th pct
Price WoW Change
-8.50 ¢/lb
-5.7%  ·  latest 139.35 ¢/lb
Managed money is Moderately Short (28th percentile) relative to the full history of this market. Managed money reduced 648 net contracts week-over-week. Commercial hedgers hold a net short position of 299 contracts. Open interest is at a depressed level historically (4th percentile).

Managed money (hedge funds & CTAs) net long position by week of year, overlapping across all available years. Extreme readings — especially multi-year highs or lows — historically coincide with price turning points.

Frozen OJ managed money net position by week
Date2026 ('000 cts)2025 ('000 cts)2024 ('000 cts)
Jan 06-2.85.90.9
Jan 13-1.75.80.5
Jan 20-1.55.50.1
Jan 27-0.85.5-0.0
Feb 03-0.05.30.1
Feb 10-0.44.11.1
Feb 17-0.53.21.2
Feb 24-0.22.61.5
Mar 030.12.21.8
Mar 100.32.01.5
Mar 170.91.51.4
Mar 240.61.41.2
Mar 310.71.31.3
Apr 071.21.11.5
Apr 141.71.11.4
Apr 211.21.01.4
Apr 280.60.81.6
May 050.60.71.5
May 121.10.31.5
May 190.50.42.6
May 260.30.53.2
Jun 020.10.63.6
Jun 090.41.03.6
Jun 160.20.63.2
Jun 230.10.02.5
Jun 30-0.1-0.32.4
Jul 070.1-0.22.3
Jul 14-0.50.92.4

Commercial hedger net position (producers, merchants, and swap dealers combined). Commercials are structurally short (forward sellers); a move toward net long is historically bullish.

Frozen OJ commercial net position by week
Date2026 ('000 cts)2025 ('000 cts)2024 ('000 cts)
Jan 060.8-8.4-0.7
Jan 13-0.4-7.8-0.4
Jan 20-0.3-7.7-0.2
Jan 27-1.5-7.6-0.1
Feb 03-2.2-6.6-1.1
Feb 10-1.7-5.5-2.6
Feb 17-1.1-4.6-1.9
Feb 24-1.5-4.1-2.5
Mar 03-1.5-4.1-2.3
Mar 10-1.9-3.6-2.3
Mar 17-2.6-3.4-1.9
Mar 24-2.0-3.3-1.8
Mar 31-2.0-3.4-2.3
Apr 07-2.6-3.1-2.5
Apr 14-3.5-3.1-2.2
Apr 21-2.6-2.9-2.7
Apr 28-1.8-2.4-2.8
May 05-1.9-2.3-3.2
May 12-2.7-2.0-3.4
May 19-1.3-2.3-5.7
May 26-1.2-2.4-6.3
Jun 02-0.8-2.5-6.8
Jun 09-1.0-2.8-6.4
Jun 16-0.9-2.7-5.5
Jun 23-0.7-1.9-4.9
Jun 30-0.6-2.0-5.2
Jul 07-1.1-2.2-5.1
Jul 14-0.3-2.2-5.3

Managed money gross long contracts by week of year. Elevated gross longs signal crowded positioning and potential liquidation pressure if sentiment shifts.

Frozen OJ managed money gross long by week
Date2026 ('000 cts)2025 ('000 cts)2024 ('000 cts)
Jan 061.75.92.0
Jan 131.55.91.8
Jan 201.75.51.5
Jan 271.85.51.5
Feb 031.75.31.4
Feb 101.84.32.0
Feb 171.73.62.1
Feb 241.93.62.2
Mar 032.13.22.7
Mar 102.33.12.5
Mar 172.72.82.6
Mar 242.52.72.6
Mar 312.52.62.8
Apr 072.52.63.0
Apr 142.62.22.9
Apr 212.41.92.8
Apr 282.31.92.8
May 052.21.92.6
May 122.82.02.6
May 192.52.03.2
May 262.42.03.6
Jun 022.32.04.0
Jun 092.41.94.0
Jun 162.11.83.4
Jun 232.41.72.8
Jun 302.71.72.7
Jul 072.82.02.7
Jul 142.42.12.9

Managed money gross short contracts by week of year. Elevated gross shorts represent potential short-covering fuel — a catalyst can force rapid buybacks and amplify a rally.

Frozen OJ managed money gross short by week
Date2026 ('000 cts)2025 ('000 cts)2024 ('000 cts)
Jan 064.40.11.2
Jan 133.20.11.2
Jan 203.20.01.4
Jan 272.60.11.5
Feb 031.70.11.3
Feb 102.20.20.9
Feb 172.20.40.9
Feb 242.10.90.7
Mar 032.01.00.9
Mar 102.01.11.0
Mar 171.81.31.2
Mar 241.91.31.4
Mar 311.81.31.4
Apr 071.31.51.4
Apr 141.01.11.5
Apr 211.20.91.5
Apr 281.71.11.2
May 051.61.21.1
May 121.61.61.1
May 192.01.60.6
May 262.01.40.4
Jun 022.11.30.4
Jun 092.01.00.4
Jun 161.91.20.3
Jun 232.31.70.3
Jun 302.82.00.3
Jul 072.72.10.5
Jul 142.91.20.5

Total open interest across all participant categories. Rising OI with a directional move confirms the trend; falling OI suggests position liquidation rather than new conviction.

Frozen OJ total open interest by week
Date2026 ('000 cts)2025 ('000 cts)2024 ('000 cts)
Jan 0611.014.311.8
Jan 1310.614.412.9
Jan 2010.414.313.1
Jan 2710.214.312.5
Feb 0310.114.711.9
Feb 1010.816.712.1
Feb 1710.017.112.7
Feb 248.816.212.4
Mar 039.016.212.3
Mar 109.016.411.6
Mar 179.016.611.4
Mar 249.516.011.4
Mar 319.116.111.4
Apr 079.016.611.4
Apr 148.915.511.4
Apr 218.112.511.9
Apr 288.612.510.1
May 058.312.510.2
May 128.812.810.9
May 199.112.313.5
May 268.712.214.5
Jun 029.112.116.0
Jun 099.012.515.7
Jun 168.913.015.2
Jun 238.711.415.0
Jun 309.411.512.4
Jul 079.511.112.8
Jul 1410.410.712.8

Nearby futures price (OJ=F). Price shown for context; COT positioning is the primary signal.

The Positioning Report — Softs — July 17, 2026 Data through: COT: 2026-07-14 Source: SoftSignal Research | https://reports.getsoftsignal.com/2026/positioning_softs_9ea08bb3.html MANAGED MONEY POSITIONING: Sugar No. 11 -94,593 cts 14th pct heavily short Cocoa -11,200 cts 18th pct heavily short Frozen OJ -507 cts 28th pct moderately short