Coffee Market Intelligence — Robusta

At a Glance

All readings as of most recent available data

MM Net Position

+39,559 lots

Managed money long minus short · 94th pct since 2011

94th pct

MM Gross Long

43,785 lots

Gross long · 93th pct

93th pct

MM Gross Short

4,226 lots

Gross short · 15th pct

15th pct

Commercial Net

-46,218 lots

Producers & merchants net · 4th pct

4th pct

Open Interest

133,127 lots

Total futures open interest

46th pct

Vietnam

+22.50

CWSI Dev — Jul Dkd 3

Well Above Normal — High Stress

Brazil Robusta

-0.66

CWSI Dev — Jul Dkd 3

Below Normal — Good Conditions

Indonesia Robusta

-0.30

CWSI Dev — Jul Dkd 3

Near Normal

Supply & Demand

USDA PSD — World coffee balance sheet

World Stocks-to-Use

14.6%

2026 · USDA PSD · 6th pct

Vietnam Production

32,500

1,000 × 60kg bags · 2026 USDA est.

Indonesia Production

11,380

1,000 × 60kg bags · 2026 USDA est.

Production estimates in 1,000 × 60kg bags from USDA FAS Production, Supply & Distribution (PSD). Vietnam is the world's largest robusta producer. World stocks-to-use reflects global coffee supply tightness across all origins and types.

Market Positioning

ICE EU Disaggregated Commitments of Traders — Robusta Coffee Futures (Liffe)

Managed money is heavily long (94th percentile vs. full ICE EU history since 2011), net long 39,559 lots. Note: unlike KC Arabica where commercials reliably run net-short hedges, robusta commercials include active traders who can sit on either side — commercial net position (-46,218 lots, 4th pct) should be read in trend context rather than as a contrarian extreme.

RC Coffee continuous contract ($/t) by week of year. Overlapping years reveal seasonal price trajectory vs prior years.

Managed money net long (long minus short) by week of year — overlapping years since 2011.

RC Robusta managed money net position by week

Date	2026 ('000 lots)	2025 ('000 lots)	2024 ('000 lots)
Jan	3.5	20.4	33.3
Jan	4.1	18.1	34.2
Jan	6.9	19.1	43.7
Jan	14.1	24.0	40.7
Feb	10.4	25.8	44.1
Feb	3.6	26.6	44.3
Feb	2.2	29.1	45.9
Feb	-0.7	29.9	44.0
Mar	2.7	26.9	38.5
Mar	4.4	25.1	41.2
Mar	-1.9	24.5	43.0
Mar	3.7	25.9	42.1
Mar	-0.6	21.3	42.7
Apr	0.3	14.5	43.9
Apr	-0.4	8.9	39.2
Apr	2.5	10.2	35.4
Apr	12.2	17.3	30.1
May	8.9	16.7	29.5
May	13.7	14.2	21.8
May	11.1	8.8	19.9
May	13.4	5.4	21.6
Jun	18.1	3.0	24.7
Jun	13.4	3.5	27.4
Jun	26.0	2.2	31.1
Jun	34.6	1.6	30.3
Jun	38.6	1.0	32.5
Jul	44.2	-0.1	31.7
Jul	43.1	-1.3	38.4
Jul	42.4	-4.6	37.8
Jul	39.6	-5.9	36.6

Commercial net position (producer/merchant long minus short). In the robusta market the commercial category includes active traders who can be net long, so an upward trend here is worth watching rather than mechanically fading.

RC Robusta commercial net position by week

Date	2026 ('000 lots)	2025 ('000 lots)	2024 ('000 lots)
Jan	-0.7	-25.6	-34.8
Jan	-1.9	-19.6	-34.8
Jan	-4.7	-22.8	-43.7
Jan	-16.9	-27.9	-41.5
Feb	-12.1	-31.0	-46.6
Feb	-7.6	-32.2	-46.4
Feb	-4.5	-35.3	-49.4
Feb	-0.0	-32.4	-46.3
Mar	-6.2	-31.1	-40.5
Mar	-7.5	-28.8	-44.3
Mar	-0.6	-26.9	-47.7
Mar	-8.5	-29.3	-46.8
Mar	-4.0	-21.5	-48.4
Apr	-3.5	-13.1	-49.7
Apr	-4.8	-8.8	-45.3
Apr	-8.3	-10.7	-42.4
Apr	-20.3	-18.6	-38.8
May	-16.4	-19.4	-37.1
May	-22.9	-16.8	-28.1
May	-18.6	-11.6	-24.9
May	-21.7	-7.1	-26.6
Jun	-26.2	-4.7	-30.0
Jun	-17.6	-7.1	-33.0
Jun	-36.2	-6.0	-36.7
Jun	-41.5	-4.6	-36.6
Jun	-46.8	-4.9	-38.6
Jul	-53.7	-2.2	-38.0
Jul	-51.9	-2.9	-46.1
Jul	-49.0	0.7	-45.4
Jul	-46.2	1.0	-42.4

Managed money gross long lots by week of year — overlapping years since 2011. Elevated gross longs signal crowded positioning and potential liquidation pressure if sentiment shifts.

RC Robusta managed money gross long by week

Date	2026 ('000 lots)	2025 ('000 lots)	2024 ('000 lots)
Jan	20.2	27.1	41.6
Jan	21.7	26.3	42.2
Jan	24.0	29.2	48.5
Jan	25.6	33.0	46.8
Feb	23.8	33.2	49.1
Feb	21.7	33.6	49.9
Feb	23.0	34.7	51.6
Feb	21.8	34.1	50.4
Mar	22.7	31.5	48.0
Mar	22.5	29.0	49.6
Mar	20.4	28.1	51.7
Mar	21.8	29.6	51.0
Mar	22.3	26.1	51.5
Apr	23.9	18.8	52.6
Apr	24.4	14.9	48.4
Apr	26.2	15.7	42.6
Apr	30.7	22.3	37.6
May	29.4	21.2	36.7
May	31.0	18.9	30.8
May	29.1	15.5	27.8
May	30.5	14.6	28.1
Jun	31.9	14.3	30.1
Jun	29.7	15.0	32.5
Jun	38.9	13.8	36.1
Jun	40.3	14.4	35.7
Jun	43.4	14.8	37.0
Jul	48.0	14.9	36.3
Jul	46.0	16.5	42.9
Jul	46.2	14.4	42.2
Jul	43.8	14.2	41.0

Managed money gross short lots by week of year — overlapping years since 2011. Elevated gross shorts represent potential short-covering fuel — a catalyst can force rapid buybacks and amplify a rally.

RC Robusta managed money gross short by week

Date	2026 ('000 lots)	2025 ('000 lots)	2024 ('000 lots)
Jan	16.7	6.7	8.3
Jan	17.6	8.3	7.9
Jan	17.1	10.1	4.8
Jan	11.6	9.1	6.0
Feb	13.4	7.4	5.0
Feb	18.2	7.0	5.6
Feb	20.8	5.6	5.7
Feb	22.4	4.2	6.4
Mar	20.0	4.6	9.5
Mar	18.1	3.9	8.4
Mar	22.2	3.6	8.7
Mar	18.1	3.7	8.8
Mar	23.0	4.9	8.8
Apr	23.6	4.3	8.8
Apr	24.8	6.1	9.2
Apr	23.6	5.4	7.3
Apr	18.5	5.0	7.5
May	20.5	4.5	7.2
May	17.3	4.6	8.9
May	18.0	6.7	7.9
May	17.1	9.3	6.5
Jun	13.9	11.4	5.4
Jun	16.3	11.5	5.1
Jun	12.8	11.6	5.0
Jun	5.8	12.8	5.4
Jun	4.8	13.8	4.5
Jul	3.8	15.0	4.6
Jul	2.9	17.8	4.5
Jul	3.7	19.1	4.3
Jul	4.2	20.0	4.3

Total open interest in lots (1 lot = 10 tonnes). Expanding OI on a price move confirms new money entering; declining OI suggests position liquidation.

RC Robusta open interest by week

Date	2026 ('000 lots)	2025 ('000 lots)	2024 ('000 lots)
Jan	83.4	77.7	129.4
Jan	87.3	78.8	139.6
Jan	90.8	84.1	157.4
Jan	96.6	91.2	162.1
Feb	97.4	91.4	163.4
Feb	105.4	100.8	168.1
Feb	109.6	98.2	167.7
Feb	96.6	87.0	172.6
Mar	101.0	88.0	124.5
Mar	101.4	85.3	129.8
Mar	109.3	84.1	136.2
Mar	106.4	86.8	134.5
Mar	111.7	88.6	134.9
Apr	112.7	94.4	140.9
Apr	115.1	92.3	144.7
Apr	104.5	84.6	145.8
Apr	104.3	87.9	113.9
May	103.6	90.1	111.8
May	109.1	90.5	103.3
May	109.9	90.9	107.0
May	115.2	96.3	117.4
Jun	117.5	107.1	129.6
Jun	115.8	108.1	129.6
Jun	129.1	111.1	130.2
Jun	105.1	94.3	126.0
Jun	113.0	104.8	102.0
Jul	125.7	106.5	100.2
Jul	127.0	112.1	116.6
Jul	129.5	111.7	119.0
Jul	133.1	114.5	118.4

ICE Certified Stocks

Deliverable robusta inventory backing the London robusta (RM) contract · ICE certified stock report

ICE Robusta certified stocks — the exchange-graded robusta inventory in licensed warehouses deliverable against the London robusta (RM) contract. Reported in lots (1 lot = 10 tonnes). A sustained drawdown means physical supply tightening relative to demand and is typically price-supportive; rebuilding stocks ease near-term scarcity. Source: ICE certified stock report.

Robusta certified stocks data table

Date	Certified stocks (lots)	Tonnes
2025-03-31	4,345	43,450
2025-04-30	4,225	42,250
2025-05-29	5,409	54,090
2025-06-30	5,174	51,740
2025-07-30	7,000	70,000
2025-08-28	6,726	67,260
2025-09-26	6,456	64,560
2025-10-30	6,077	60,770
2025-11-27	4,530	45,300
2025-12-30	4,221	42,210
2026-01-29	4,544	45,440
2026-02-26	4,569	45,690
2026-03-31	4,095	40,950
2026-04-29	3,869	38,690
2026-05-28	3,885	38,850
2026-06-30	4,053	40,530
2026-07-31	4,148	41,480

Crop Conditions Overview

CWSI deviation from climatological normal — monthly average, robusta growing regions

Each cell shows the mean crop-water-stress deviation for that month and year. Green = less stress than historical average (favorable) · Red = more stress (drought / heat risk). Vietnam and Brazil robusta have different crop calendars — compare columns within each heatmap rather than across them.

Indonesia Robusta (Lampung / South Sumatra) — harvest May–Sep. Dry season stress Jun–Sep is the key production risk.

Brazil Robusta (Espírito Santo) — harvest Apr–Aug. Flowering Sept–Oct means stress here impacts next year.

Vietnam — main crop harvested Oct–Feb. Key stress window: Jul–Sep dry season before flowering.

Vietnam — Seasonal Detail

CWSI deviation from climatological normal. Vietnam's main robusta crop is harvested October–February (off-season Jul–Sep). The Central Highlands (Dak Lak, Lam Dong) receive most rainfall Apr–Oct. Drought stress in the July–September dry season is the key production risk.

Vietnam CWSI dekadal seasonal overlay

Dekad	2026 (dev)	2025 (dev)	2024 (dev)
Jan-1	0.050	-0.210	0.160
Jan-2	0.130	-0.120	0.260
Jan-3	0.080	-0.030	0.170
Feb-1	-0.030	-0.010	0.030
Feb-2	0.060	-0.220	0.120
Feb-3	-0.270	-0.420	0.300
Mar-1	-0.350	-0.180	0.140
Mar-2	-0.020	-0.050	0.310
Mar-3	0.460	0.170	0.180
Apr-1	0.770	0.220	0.510
Apr-2	0.230	0.040	0.930
Apr-3	0.260	0.380	0.830
May-1	1.120	-0.050	0.760
May-2	0.950	-0.660	1.380
May-3	0.120	-2.500	0.430
Jun-1	-0.360	-1.130	0.840
Jun-2	1.110	-2.000	2.590
Jun-3	1.510	-0.790	-3.000
Jul-1	-3.690	0.110	-2.740
Jul-2	-0.230	0.670	-5.000
Jul-3	5.000	5.000	-5.000

Vietnam SM dekadal seasonal overlay

Dekad	2026 (fraction)	2025 (fraction)	2024 (fraction)
Jan-1	0.390	0.420	0.370
Jan-2	0.370	0.410	0.350
Jan-3	0.360	0.390	0.350
Feb-1	0.350	0.370	0.340
Feb-2	0.340	0.360	0.330
Feb-3	0.330	0.360	0.320
Mar-1	0.330	0.350	0.320
Mar-2	0.330	0.340	0.310
Mar-3	0.320	0.330	0.310
Apr-1	0.310	0.330	0.300
Apr-2	0.310	0.320	0.300
Apr-3	0.300	0.320	0.300
May-1	0.300	0.310	0.290
May-2	0.300	0.340	0.290
May-3	0.320	0.400	0.320
Jun-1	0.380	0.450	0.340
Jun-2	0.400	0.480	0.350
Jun-3	0.400	0.480	0.400
Jul-1	0.440	0.480	0.450
Jul-2	0.470	0.470	0.480
Jul-3	0.460	0.470	0.490

Vietnam RAIN dekadal seasonal overlay

Dekad	2026 (mm)	2025 (mm)	2024 (mm)
Jan-1	3.500	4.600	2.100
Jan-2	0.300	6.800	1.300
Jan-3	1.500	1.500	2.900
Feb-1	3.300	3.100	2.800
Feb-2	2.300	9.700	1.100
Feb-3	22.400	20.800	1.200
Mar-1	24.500	7.700	1.300
Mar-2	4.500	8.200	1.900
Mar-3	0.100	8.600	11.500
Apr-1	0.400	12.100	7.500
Apr-2	19.500	24.700	1.700
Apr-3	27.800	21.400	6.500
May-1	16.400	58.200	40.500
May-2	66.600	87.800	66.700
May-3	88.900	140.000	69.800
Jun-1	70.500	91.600	50.300
Jun-2	53.500	114.500	49.400
Jun-3	62.900	78.800	107.000
Jul-1	110.400	71.500	115.000
Jul-2	76.800	62.000	157.700
Jul-3	25.000	95.200	99.600

Vietnam TEMP dekadal seasonal overlay

Dekad	2026 (°C)	2025 (°C)	2024 (°C)
Jan-1	19.000	19.900	22.600
Jan-2	20.900	19.400	22.300
Jan-3	20.500	20.400	22.100
Feb-1	22.100	21.100	24.500
Feb-2	23.100	23.100	23.900
Feb-3	24.000	22.500	24.800
Mar-1	23.300	24.500	25.600
Mar-2	22.800	24.000	25.500
Mar-3	25.400	24.600	26.300
Apr-1	27.400	24.800	27.300
Apr-2	26.300	25.900	27.900
Apr-3	25.900	26.200	29.000
May-1	26.000	25.600	26.900
May-2	26.100	24.800	26.600
May-3	25.300	24.200	25.500
Jun-1	24.600	24.100	25.400
Jun-2	24.900	23.900	25.700
Jun-3	24.900	23.400	24.000
Jul-1	23.400	23.700	24.200
Jul-2	23.800	24.000	23.000
Jul-3	24.300	23.700	23.400

Running count of dekads year-to-date where temperature exceeded the climatological normal. Robusta optimal mean maximum is ~24°C — accumulation above normal is a direct yield drag.

Vietnam warm-dekad count year-to-date

Dekad	2026 (dkd)	2025 (dkd)	2024 (dkd)
Jan-1	0.000	0.000	1.000
Jan-2	0.000	0.000	2.000
Jan-3	0.000	0.000	3.000
Feb-1	1.000	0.000	4.000
Feb-2	1.000	0.000	5.000
Feb-3	2.000	0.000	6.000
Mar-1	2.000	1.000	7.000
Mar-2	2.000	1.000	8.000
Mar-3	3.000	1.000	9.000
Apr-1	4.000	1.000	10.000
Apr-2	5.000	2.000	11.000
Apr-3	6.000	3.000	12.000
May-1	7.000	4.000	13.000
May-2	8.000	4.000	14.000
May-3	9.000	4.000	15.000
Jun-1	10.000	4.000	16.000
Jun-2	11.000	4.000	17.000
Jun-3	12.000	4.000	18.000
Jul-1	12.000	4.000	19.000
Jul-2	13.000	5.000	19.000
Jul-3	14.000	6.000	19.000

Cumulative positive temperature anomaly year-to-date (°C × dekad). Integrates both frequency and magnitude of above-normal heat — robusta yield is ~14% lower per 1°C mean maximum above threshold.

Vietnam integrated thermal anomaly year-to-date

Dekad	2026 (°C·dkd)	2025 (°C·dkd)	2024 (°C·dkd)
Jan-1	0.000	0.000	1.300
Jan-2	0.000	0.000	2.200
Jan-3	0.000	0.000	2.700
Feb-1	0.100	0.000	5.200
Feb-2	0.100	0.000	5.900
Feb-3	0.500	0.000	7.100
Mar-1	0.500	0.300	8.500
Mar-2	0.500	0.300	9.100
Mar-3	1.100	0.300	10.600
Apr-1	3.300	0.300	12.700
Apr-2	4.200	0.800	15.200
Apr-3	4.600	1.500	18.700
May-1	5.200	1.700	20.200
May-2	6.500	1.700	22.000
May-3	7.300	1.700	23.000
Jun-1	7.500	1.700	24.000
Jun-2	8.300	1.700	25.600
Jun-3	9.400	1.700	25.800
Jul-1	9.400	1.700	26.300
Jul-2	9.500	2.000	26.300
Jul-3	10.400	2.300	26.300

Brazil Robusta — Seasonal Detail

CWSI deviation from climatological normal. Espírito Santo produces ~80% of Brazil's robusta. Harvest runs April–August. Flowering in September–October means late-season stress has outsized impact on the following year's crop.

Brazil Robusta CWSI dekadal seasonal overlay

Dekad	2026 (dev)	2025 (dev)	2024 (dev)
Jan-1	-0.280	-0.970	-1.380
Jan-2	0.470	-1.640	1.340
Jan-3	-0.420	0.360	-2.520
Feb-1	-0.100	0.670	-0.340
Feb-2	0.130	0.670	-1.020
Feb-3	-2.350	0.530	-0.860
Mar-1	-0.960	1.250	-0.260
Mar-2	-0.220	1.680	0.450
Mar-3	-0.310	0.630	0.260
Apr-1	0.020	0.980	-0.290
Apr-2	0.100	-0.250	0.020
Apr-3	0.140	-0.070	0.050
May-1	0.120	0.010	0.160
May-2	0.150	0.190	0.170
May-3	-0.030	0.150	0.180
Jun-1	0.040	0.130	-0.020
Jun-2	0.050	0.150	0.070
Jun-3	0.020	0.180	0.080
Jul-1	0.010	0.110	0.080
Jul-2	0.110	0.100	0.160
Jul-3	-0.660	0.180	0.080

Brazil Robusta SM dekadal seasonal overlay

Dekad	2026 (fraction)	2025 (fraction)	2024 (fraction)
Jan-1	0.290	0.320	0.260
Jan-2	0.290	0.350	0.290
Jan-3	0.310	0.350	0.320
Feb-1	0.310	0.330	0.360
Feb-2	0.310	0.320	0.360
Feb-3	0.320	0.300	0.390
Mar-1	0.380	0.290	0.380
Mar-2	0.370	0.270	0.360
Mar-3	0.370	0.270	0.340
Apr-1	0.350	0.260	0.330
Apr-2	0.340	0.260	0.320
Apr-3	0.320	0.260	0.310
May-1	0.310	0.260	0.300
May-2	0.300	0.260	0.290
May-3	0.290	0.260	0.280
Jun-1	0.280	0.260	0.280
Jun-2	0.270	0.250	0.270
Jun-3	0.270	0.250	0.270
Jul-1	0.260	0.250	0.260
Jul-2	0.260	0.240	0.260
Jul-3	0.260	0.240	0.250

Brazil Robusta RAIN dekadal seasonal overlay

Dekad	2026 (mm)	2025 (mm)	2024 (mm)
Jan-1	63.800	83.000	91.600
Jan-2	38.400	101.000	11.800
Jan-3	62.900	20.100	156.800
Feb-1	45.900	11.900	44.000
Feb-2	27.800	4.200	75.500
Feb-3	117.900	9.300	59.800
Mar-1	67.700	8.500	37.900
Mar-2	39.500	11.400	14.400
Mar-3	41.700	29.800	25.800
Apr-1	18.500	12.500	35.700
Apr-2	9.400	39.200	16.500
Apr-3	6.100	23.700	10.900
May-1	6.900	16.200	8.300
May-2	4.100	11.300	5.700
May-3	9.300	7.800	5.800
Jun-1	5.000	6.100	9.400
Jun-2	5.200	6.600	6.000
Jun-3	5.600	3.900	2.600
Jul-1	3.900	4.800	4.000
Jul-2	3.700	4.700	3.400
Jul-3	1.700	3.000	4.900

Brazil Robusta TEMP dekadal seasonal overlay

Dekad	2026 (°C)	2025 (°C)	2024 (°C)
Jan-1	25.000	24.900	24.700
Jan-2	24.500	23.700	26.300
Jan-3	24.000	25.400	24.500
Feb-1	25.400	25.000	24.600
Feb-2	24.800	25.800	24.500
Feb-3	23.500	25.600	24.400
Mar-1	23.600	25.200	25.400
Mar-2	24.700	26.700	26.200
Mar-3	23.600	25.400	25.500
Apr-1	24.200	25.200	24.800
Apr-2	23.700	24.800	24.400
Apr-3	23.800	24.600	24.400
May-1	23.500	22.700	24.100
May-2	23.700	22.000	24.400
May-3	22.400	22.600	22.900
Jun-1	21.100	22.800	22.100
Jun-2	22.400	20.700	21.700
Jun-3	21.300	21.800	22.200
Jul-1	21.700	20.300	21.800
Jul-2	21.300	20.300	21.300
Jul-3	22.200	21.800	21.600

Running count of dekads year-to-date where temperature exceeded the climatological normal. Robusta optimal mean maximum is ~24°C — accumulation above normal is a direct yield drag.

Brazil Robusta warm-dekad count year-to-date

Dekad	2026 (dkd)	2025 (dkd)	2024 (dkd)
Jan-1	1.000	1.000	1.000
Jan-2	1.000	1.000	2.000
Jan-3	1.000	2.000	2.000
Feb-1	2.000	3.000	2.000
Feb-2	3.000	4.000	2.000
Feb-3	3.000	5.000	2.000
Mar-1	3.000	6.000	3.000
Mar-2	4.000	7.000	4.000
Mar-3	4.000	8.000	5.000
Apr-1	5.000	9.000	6.000
Apr-2	5.000	10.000	7.000
Apr-3	6.000	11.000	8.000
May-1	7.000	11.000	9.000
May-2	8.000	11.000	10.000
May-3	9.000	12.000	11.000
Jun-1	9.000	13.000	12.000
Jun-2	10.000	13.000	13.000
Jun-3	11.000	14.000	14.000
Jul-1	12.000	14.000	15.000
Jul-2	13.000	14.000	16.000
Jul-3	14.000	15.000	17.000

Brazil Robusta integrated thermal anomaly year-to-date

Dekad	2026 (°C·dkd)	2025 (°C·dkd)	2024 (°C·dkd)
Jan-1	0.500	0.400	0.200
Jan-2	0.500	0.400	2.000
Jan-3	0.500	1.200	2.000
Feb-1	1.200	1.500	2.000
Feb-2	1.300	2.600	2.000
Feb-3	1.300	3.300	2.000
Mar-1	1.300	3.900	2.800
Mar-2	1.500	6.100	4.500
Mar-3	1.500	7.300	5.800
Apr-1	1.600	8.400	6.500
Apr-2	1.600	9.500	7.200
Apr-3	2.000	10.700	8.200
May-1	2.600	10.700	9.400
May-2	3.800	10.700	11.300
May-3	4.000	11.100	12.000
Jun-1	4.000	12.100	12.300
Jun-2	5.100	12.100	12.700
Jun-3	5.300	12.800	13.800
Jul-1	6.100	12.800	14.700
Jul-2	6.500	12.800	15.100
Jul-3	7.900	13.800	15.900

Indonesia Robusta — Seasonal Detail

CWSI deviation from climatological normal. Indonesia is the world's third-largest robusta producer. Lampung (South Sumatra) and Flores are the key growing regions. Main harvest runs May–September. The dry season (June–September) during cherry development is the primary weather risk.

Indonesia Robusta CWSI dekadal seasonal overlay

Dekad	2026 (dev)	2025 (dev)	2024 (dev)
Jan-1	0.220	1.160	-1.290
Jan-2	0.700	-0.300	-2.520
Jan-3	2.050	-0.390	1.470
Feb-1	-0.100	3.010	-0.590
Feb-2	-0.450	-1.020	-1.460
Feb-3	2.070	-2.360	0.090
Mar-1	0.470	-1.510	-1.560
Mar-2	1.140	-0.290	2.800
Mar-3	2.140	1.820	1.520
Apr-1	-0.450	-0.120	-0.570
Apr-2	0.810	-2.740	0.040
Apr-3	0.200	2.120	-1.750
May-1	0.190	4.690	1.410
May-2	-1.090	-2.260	1.740
May-3	0.420	-0.110	-1.560
Jun-1	2.670	2.980	-0.440
Jun-2	0.450	-1.250	-0.870
Jun-3	1.090	-0.780	-0.440
Jul-1	2.250	-0.220	-1.350
Jul-2	3.240	1.010	1.230
Jul-3	-0.300	-0.070	0.820

Indonesia Robusta SM dekadal seasonal overlay

Dekad	2026 (fraction)	2025 (fraction)	2024 (fraction)
Jan-1	0.450	0.430	0.420
Jan-2	0.440	0.440	0.460
Jan-3	0.430	0.460	0.440
Feb-1	0.440	0.420	0.460
Feb-2	0.450	0.410	0.450
Feb-3	0.440	0.460	0.450
Mar-1	0.420	0.460	0.460
Mar-2	0.440	0.450	0.430
Mar-3	0.430	0.420	0.390
Apr-1	0.440	0.440	0.420
Apr-2	0.450	0.460	0.450
Apr-3	0.450	0.440	0.460
May-1	0.440	0.400	0.440
May-2	0.440	0.410	0.420
May-3	0.430	0.410	0.430
Jun-1	0.400	0.390	0.420
Jun-2	0.380	0.370	0.420
Jun-3	0.360	0.400	0.410
Jul-1	0.350	0.400	0.420
Jul-2	0.330	0.390	0.420
Jul-3	0.310	0.370	0.390

Indonesia Robusta RAIN dekadal seasonal overlay

Dekad	2026 (mm)	2025 (mm)	2024 (mm)
Jan-1	95.500	68.900	141.400
Jan-2	79.500	96.400	142.600
Jan-3	61.300	116.400	79.900
Feb-1	104.100	36.500	118.300
Feb-2	109.100	123.300	131.700
Feb-3	41.300	132.200	88.800
Mar-1	96.800	153.800	152.800
Mar-2	81.100	108.400	35.300
Mar-3	51.100	64.300	73.700
Apr-1	118.000	108.400	120.900
Apr-2	79.100	147.700	90.700
Apr-3	86.600	52.400	103.400
May-1	77.300	35.200	63.900
May-2	71.400	78.100	47.700
May-3	50.600	57.100	83.900
Jun-1	18.100	13.600	59.000
Jun-2	36.400	72.900	59.500
Jun-3	17.200	51.000	48.500
Jul-1	7.900	43.200	71.600
Jul-2	6.200	19.700	9.000
Jul-3	7.400	36.700	4.300

Indonesia Robusta TEMP dekadal seasonal overlay

Dekad	2026 (°C)	2025 (°C)	2024 (°C)
Jan-1	24.500	25.100	25.300
Jan-2	24.500	24.800	25.100
Jan-3	24.600	24.600	25.800
Feb-1	24.600	25.500	25.300
Feb-2	24.800	25.100	25.700
Feb-3	25.400	24.600	25.800
Mar-1	25.100	25.200	25.600
Mar-2	25.200	24.900	26.100
Mar-3	25.500	25.700	26.200
Apr-1	25.300	25.200	26.000
Apr-2	25.500	25.100	26.000
Apr-3	25.800	25.400	26.000
May-1	25.600	26.100	26.100
May-2	25.900	25.700	26.100
May-3	25.500	25.900	26.100
Jun-1	25.900	26.100	25.800
Jun-2	25.200	25.300	25.400
Jun-3	25.500	24.800	25.300
Jul-1	25.800	25.000	25.000
Jul-2	26.200	25.300	25.000
Jul-3	25.900	25.600	25.600

Running count of dekads year-to-date where temperature exceeded the climatological normal. Robusta optimal mean maximum is ~24°C — accumulation above normal is a direct yield drag.

Indonesia Robusta warm-dekad count year-to-date

Dekad	2026 (dkd)	2025 (dkd)	2024 (dkd)
Jan-1	0.000	1.000	1.000
Jan-2	0.000	2.000	2.000
Jan-3	0.000	2.000	3.000
Feb-1	0.000	3.000	4.000
Feb-2	0.000	4.000	5.000
Feb-3	1.000	4.000	6.000
Mar-1	2.000	5.000	7.000
Mar-2	3.000	5.000	8.000
Mar-3	4.000	6.000	9.000
Apr-1	5.000	7.000	10.000
Apr-2	6.000	7.000	11.000
Apr-3	7.000	8.000	12.000
May-1	8.000	9.000	13.000
May-2	9.000	10.000	14.000
May-3	10.000	11.000	15.000
Jun-1	11.000	12.000	16.000
Jun-2	12.000	13.000	17.000
Jun-3	13.000	13.000	18.000
Jul-1	14.000	14.000	19.000
Jul-2	15.000	15.000	20.000
Jul-3	16.000	16.000	21.000

Indonesia Robusta integrated thermal anomaly year-to-date

Dekad	2026 (°C·dkd)	2025 (°C·dkd)	2024 (°C·dkd)
Jan-1	0.000	0.600	0.800
Jan-2	0.000	0.800	1.300
Jan-3	0.000	0.800	2.500
Feb-1	0.000	1.700	3.200
Feb-2	0.000	2.000	4.100
Feb-3	0.600	2.000	5.100
Mar-1	0.800	2.300	5.800
Mar-2	1.100	2.300	7.000
Mar-3	1.600	3.000	8.200
Apr-1	1.900	3.200	9.200
Apr-2	2.300	3.200	10.100
Apr-3	2.900	3.400	10.900
May-1	3.300	4.300	11.800
May-2	3.900	4.700	12.600
May-3	4.200	5.400	13.500
Jun-1	5.000	6.400	14.200
Jun-2	5.200	6.700	14.600
Jun-3	5.900	6.700	15.100
Jul-1	7.000	7.000	15.400
Jul-2	8.600	7.700	15.800
Jul-3	9.700	8.500	16.600