SoftSignal Research
Colombia · Park Structure & Productivity
Monthly supplement · September 01, 2026 · census through 2024 · production through Jul 2026
Origin cost & structure series
Espírito SantoConilon · cost coverageMinas GeraisArabica · cost coverage & cup ladderColombiaPark structure & productivity
Colombia is the one origin that can say how old its coffee is. The FNC's SICA census records the technification and age of every hectare, and it currently puts 81.0% of the park in young technified plantings — down from 85.9% at the 2019 peak, with aged area up to 155k hectares. That is the measurement the two Brazilian pages in this series cannot make, and it is the outcome their cost-coverage lines are ultimately about. What Colombia does not publish is a cost survey — so in place of a margin we measure the grower’s share of the world price, currently 82% of Ex-Dock against a 78% average since 1991.
81.0%
Young share of park
2024, from 85.9% in 2019
18.6%
Aged share of park
2024, 155k ha
16.4
Bags per hectare
2025, peak 17.3
82%
Grower share of world price
vs 78% since 1991
Two distinct eras. Between 2007 and 2019 the traditional park was almost entirely converted — traditional area fell from 147k to 11k hectares while the young technified block grew. Since 2019 that has run in reverse: aged area has risen from 109k to 155k hectares, and the total park has contracted to 838k. The park is not being replaced as fast as it is growing old. A fuller treatment of this, including the regional migration out of the Eje Cafetero, is in our Colombia coffee park article.
The rust years are still the reference point. Yield bottomed at 8.3 bags per hectare during the 2008–2012 leaf-rust epidemic and recovered to a 17.3 peak in 2019. The recovery is what the renovation program was for. Whether the current re-aging of the park pulls it back down is the open question — and, as the next chart shows, not one this data can yet answer.
We are publishing a null. In levels, the young share and yield 2 years later correlate at r = +0.90, which is the striking number and the one we are deliberately not headlining. Two series that both trend across 17 annual observations will correlate whether or not they are related. The test that asks the actual question — does a move in replanting predict a move in yield — gives r = +0.35 with a permutation p of 0.18, which does not clear any reasonable bar. The mechanism may well be real; 16 annual changes are simply too few, against too much weather, to demonstrate it. We would rather say so than sell the +0.90.
This is the Colombian half of the margin question, and it is only half. The precio interno has gone from 769k COP/carga in Jan 2015 to 2,245k in Jul 2026. What we cannot do for Colombia is the thing the two Brazilian pages in this series do — put that price over a surveyed cost of production — because no Colombian equivalent of CONAB's cost survey is published. The price is observable; the margin is not.
Three things this chart does not support. It is nominal COP and we hold no Colombian deflator, so part of this rise is inflation rather than coffee — do not read the level as purchasing power. The series is shown from 2015 rather than from its 1944 start for the same reason: drawn in full it is a chart of Colombian inflation. And it is not comparable to the Brazilian prices elsewhere in this series without care — a carga is 125kg of parchment (roughly 0.80 of that weight in green) against Brazil's 60kg saca of green coffee.
This is the Colombian answer to the cost-coverage lines on the two Brazilian pages. It cannot say what a grower earns over cost, because no Colombian cost survey exists — but it says how much of what the world pays actually reaches the farm, which is the same question asked from the other end. The share has risen steadily by decade: 1990s 70%, 2000s 78%, 2010s 81%, 2020s 82%. Over the whole 416 months it averages 78%, and the latest reading is 82%.
The extremes show why it moves: the internal price is administered, not quoted. The low is 41% in Jul 1994 — the Brazilian frost spike, when the world price ran away and the internal price followed only partly. The high is 98% in Aug 1992, in the price collapse that followed the end of the ICA quota system, when the internal price was held up above what the market alone would have paid. The ratio compresses in spikes and widens in slumps, which is the signature of a smoothing mechanism — and it is precisely the cushion that keeps husbandry going through a bad price year.
Read the shape, not the level. A carga is 125kg of parchment and Ex-Dock is priced per lb of green, so the ratio depends on a parchment-to-green conversion. We use 0.80; the competing factor-de-rendimiento convention implies 0.7447, which would put the latest reading near 89% instead of 82%. That factor enters as a pure scalar — the correlation between the series computed under either convention is 1.000000 — so the trend, the turning points and the decade shift are unaffected by it, while the absolute level is not. If the FNC can tell us the factor they consider correct, this chart gets sharper immediately.
1.11x
Transmission today
window ending Jul 2026
0.44x
Transmission in the early 1990s
window ending Dec 1996
+0.69
Change, early vs recent
permutation p < 0.0001
p = 0.36
Rallies vs declines
no measurable difference — a null
Rolling 60-month volatility transmission and regression slope
Window endTransmission ratioSlopeSlope upper bound
Dec 19960.4430.2000.983
Jan 19970.4370.1851.031
Feb 19970.4710.2350.946
Mar 19970.5680.2741.178
Apr 19970.5730.2751.195
May 19970.5810.2941.146
Jun 19970.5770.2911.146
Jul 19970.6140.3381.113
Aug 19970.6180.3321.152
Sep 19970.6170.3291.158
Oct 19970.6140.3351.124
Nov 19970.6220.3451.121
Dec 19970.6300.3601.105
Jan 19980.6380.3641.118
Feb 19980.6410.3651.125
Mar 19980.6530.3841.109
Apr 19980.6550.3951.085
May 19980.6670.4101.086
Jun 19980.6630.4091.075
Jul 19980.6650.4161.061
Aug 19980.6640.4121.069
Sep 19980.6550.4101.046
Oct 19980.6560.4101.049
Nov 19980.6560.4111.047
Dec 19980.6560.4121.045
Jan 19990.6550.4111.044
Feb 19990.6450.4081.020
Mar 19990.6450.4081.019
Apr 19990.6440.4081.017
May 19990.6820.4391.060
Jun 19990.6820.4311.078
Jul 19990.7480.4341.288
Aug 19990.7500.4491.254
Sep 19990.7460.4361.275
Oct 19990.7520.4491.259
Nov 19990.7600.4661.241
Dec 19990.7710.4741.252
Jan 20000.7780.4861.245
Feb 20000.7810.4891.246
Mar 20000.7860.4971.244
Apr 20000.7860.4991.239
May 20000.7830.4981.234
Jun 20000.7830.5001.227
Jul 20000.7840.4991.231
Aug 20000.7740.4971.206
Sep 20000.7810.5031.211
Oct 20000.7830.5061.212
Nov 20000.7680.4891.207
Dec 20000.7920.5181.213
Jan 20010.7920.5241.196
Feb 20010.8310.5771.195
Mar 20010.8310.5781.195
Apr 20010.8320.5801.195
May 20010.8400.5901.197
Jun 20010.8570.6181.188
Jul 20010.8600.6221.189
Aug 20010.8560.6231.176
Sep 20010.8540.6611.105
Oct 20010.8560.6681.097
Nov 20010.8600.6661.109
Dec 20010.8600.6651.111
Jan 20020.8860.7131.100
Feb 20020.9360.7261.206
Mar 20020.8080.6461.011
Apr 20020.8100.6481.012
May 20020.8430.6451.102
Jun 20020.8430.6531.088
Jul 20020.7960.5701.112
Aug 20020.8010.5791.106
Sep 20020.8260.6311.082
Oct 20020.8380.6521.077
Nov 20020.8360.6501.074
Dec 20020.8650.6551.141
Jan 20030.8940.6731.186
Feb 20030.8880.6661.184
Mar 20030.8870.6531.204
Apr 20030.8900.6601.200
May 20030.8790.6451.197
Jun 20030.8920.6661.196
Jul 20030.9180.6951.213
Aug 20030.9450.7171.246
Sep 20030.9470.7201.247
Oct 20030.9510.7211.255
Nov 20030.9520.7171.265
Dec 20030.9540.7181.268
Jan 20040.9690.7301.285
Feb 20040.9700.7251.299
Mar 20040.9720.7251.301
Apr 20040.9730.7291.297
May 20041.0160.7841.317
Jun 20041.0140.7921.298
Jul 20041.0590.8391.336
Aug 20041.0520.8301.333
Sep 20041.0670.8441.348
Oct 20041.0630.8381.349
Nov 20041.1000.8651.399
Dec 20041.0870.8531.385
Jan 20051.0850.8451.394
Feb 20051.1090.8711.412
Mar 20051.1050.8861.379
Apr 20051.1150.8961.387
May 20051.1220.9021.397
Jun 20051.1340.9151.407
Jul 20051.1360.9271.392
Aug 20051.1680.9621.418
Sep 20051.1650.9651.407
Oct 20051.1890.9731.455
Nov 20051.2381.0511.458
Dec 20051.2381.0511.457
Jan 20061.2241.0541.422
Feb 20061.2291.0511.437
Mar 20061.2311.0551.436
Apr 20061.2321.0561.437
May 20061.2361.0561.448
Jun 20061.2571.0601.490
Jul 20061.2571.0581.494
Aug 20061.2571.0581.495
Sep 20061.2621.0591.504
Oct 20061.2851.0721.539
Nov 20061.2941.0921.534
Dec 20061.2921.0931.528
Jan 20071.2941.1011.521
Feb 20071.2921.0981.520
Mar 20071.3191.1231.549
Apr 20071.3111.1221.531
May 20071.2771.0911.494
Jun 20071.2861.0971.508
Jul 20071.2871.1181.482
Aug 20071.2761.1091.468
Sep 20071.3121.1331.520
Oct 20071.3341.1611.532
Nov 20071.3331.1641.526
Dec 20071.3011.1421.481
Jan 20081.2791.1251.453
Feb 20081.2841.1331.456
Mar 20081.3111.1461.500
Apr 20081.2741.1191.450
May 20081.2751.1201.452
Jun 20081.2881.1231.477
Jul 20081.2651.0921.466
Aug 20081.2661.1021.454
Sep 20081.2401.0781.426
Oct 20081.2411.0791.427
Nov 20081.2441.0841.428
Dec 20081.2441.0841.426
Jan 20091.2491.0891.433
Feb 20091.2161.0691.384
Mar 20091.2161.0701.383
Apr 20091.2201.0791.379
May 20091.2141.0761.369
Jun 20091.2891.1331.467
Jul 20091.2421.0761.434
Aug 20091.2531.0841.448
Sep 20091.2431.0801.431
Oct 20091.2551.0971.435
Nov 20091.2491.0901.431
Dec 20091.2651.1071.444
Jan 20101.2641.1091.441
Feb 20101.2541.0941.438
Mar 20101.2671.0921.469
Apr 20101.2691.0891.478
May 20101.2671.0891.473
Jun 20101.2701.0921.477
Jul 20101.2821.0951.502
Aug 20101.2871.0991.508
Sep 20101.3011.1011.538
Oct 20101.2681.0911.472
Nov 20101.2531.0751.459
Dec 20101.2651.0911.468
Jan 20111.2791.0901.500
Feb 20111.2571.0811.461
Mar 20111.2581.0771.469
Apr 20111.2561.0751.467
May 20111.2591.0781.471
Jun 20111.2481.0701.456
Jul 20111.2501.0731.457
Aug 20111.2511.0711.461
Sep 20111.2311.0451.450
Oct 20111.2091.0291.422
Nov 20111.1981.0181.410
Dec 20111.2011.0191.417
Jan 20121.1971.0131.414
Feb 20121.1881.0071.400
Mar 20121.1921.0171.395
Apr 20121.1921.0181.396
May 20121.2151.0401.420
Jun 20121.2001.0391.385
Jul 20121.2001.0451.378
Aug 20121.2081.0521.387
Sep 20121.2081.0491.390
Oct 20121.2101.0531.391
Nov 20121.2161.0601.394
Dec 20121.2131.0581.391
Jan 20131.2131.0581.392
Feb 20131.2091.0531.387
Mar 20131.1931.0461.360
Apr 20131.2151.0601.393
May 20131.2151.0601.392
Jun 20131.2151.0661.385
Jul 20131.2301.0861.392
Aug 20131.2201.0831.374
Sep 20131.2461.1071.403
Oct 20131.2451.1081.398
Nov 20131.2401.1071.390
Dec 20131.2451.1091.397
Jan 20141.2261.0941.373
Feb 20141.3231.2171.438
Mar 20141.2301.1341.334
Apr 20141.2331.1261.350
May 20141.2451.1311.370
Jun 20141.1771.0851.277
Jul 20141.1921.1051.286
Aug 20141.1811.1021.266
Sep 20141.1781.0961.266
Oct 20141.1691.0911.253
Nov 20141.1691.0911.253
Dec 20141.1611.0811.248
Jan 20151.1601.0791.247
Feb 20151.1591.0801.243
Mar 20151.1561.0801.237
Apr 20151.1521.0771.233
May 20151.1561.0811.237
Jun 20151.1511.0761.232
Jul 20151.1441.0691.225
Aug 20151.1461.0751.223
Sep 20151.1451.0791.216
Oct 20151.1501.0821.222
Nov 20151.1611.0941.231
Dec 20151.1421.0761.212
Jan 20161.1431.0761.215
Feb 20161.1391.0701.213
Mar 20161.1351.0661.209
Apr 20161.1361.0671.210
May 20161.1341.0671.205
Jun 20161.1351.0681.206
Jul 20161.1321.0661.203
Aug 20161.1331.0681.201
Sep 20161.1531.0931.217
Oct 20161.1701.1081.236
Nov 20161.1581.0981.222
Dec 20161.1521.0961.211
Jan 20171.1541.0961.215
Feb 20171.1621.1051.222
Mar 20171.1561.0971.218
Apr 20171.1591.1011.220
May 20171.1551.0981.216
Jun 20171.1621.1021.226
Jul 20171.1651.1041.230
Aug 20171.1651.1031.231
Sep 20171.1621.1011.227
Oct 20171.1611.0991.225
Nov 20171.1551.0931.219
Dec 20171.1591.0981.224
Jan 20181.1561.0911.224
Feb 20181.1551.0901.223
Mar 20181.1541.0891.222
Apr 20181.1521.0871.220
May 20181.1521.0871.220
Jun 20181.1471.0831.216
Jul 20181.1471.0831.215
Aug 20181.1471.0831.215
Sep 20181.1471.0821.216
Oct 20181.1531.0891.220
Nov 20181.1511.0841.223
Dec 20181.1541.0901.223
Jan 20191.1531.0861.223
Feb 20191.0691.0011.142
Mar 20191.1461.0581.241
Apr 20191.1391.0631.221
May 20191.1331.0651.205
Jun 20191.1481.0761.224
Jul 20191.1481.0761.224
Aug 20191.1611.0851.243
Sep 20191.1651.0911.243
Oct 20191.1691.0891.256
Nov 20191.1791.1001.263
Dec 20191.1641.0891.243
Jan 20201.1821.1091.260
Feb 20201.1771.0981.261
Mar 20201.1541.0921.219
Apr 20201.1461.0811.215
May 20201.1361.0741.202
Jun 20201.1371.0771.199
Jul 20201.1411.0791.206
Aug 20201.1231.0631.187
Sep 20201.1211.0591.186
Oct 20201.1261.0661.189
Nov 20201.1261.0671.189
Dec 20201.1351.0741.199
Jan 20211.1341.0731.197
Feb 20211.1361.0771.198
Mar 20211.1391.0821.198
Apr 20211.1391.0811.199
May 20211.1511.0941.210
Jun 20211.1541.0971.213
Jul 20211.1581.1021.216
Aug 20211.1541.1001.210
Sep 20211.1441.0921.199
Oct 20211.1341.0841.186
Nov 20211.1491.1001.200
Dec 20211.1471.0901.206
Jan 20221.1481.0941.204
Feb 20221.1461.0921.203
Mar 20221.1461.0951.200
Apr 20221.1451.0931.200
May 20221.1471.0961.201
Jun 20221.1471.0951.201
Jul 20221.1381.0851.192
Aug 20221.1371.0841.193
Sep 20221.1411.0881.198
Oct 20221.1421.0891.199
Nov 20221.1271.0781.178
Dec 20221.1221.0741.173
Jan 20231.1301.0861.175
Feb 20231.1321.0901.176
Mar 20231.1301.0881.173
Apr 20231.1291.0871.174
May 20231.1331.0901.179
Jun 20231.1491.1091.191
Jul 20231.1471.1101.184
Aug 20231.1451.1091.183
Sep 20231.1421.1061.180
Oct 20231.1351.0981.173
Nov 20231.1381.1041.174
Dec 20231.1331.0981.169
Jan 20241.1381.1041.173
Feb 20241.1371.1031.172
Mar 20241.1361.1011.171
Apr 20241.1361.1031.169
May 20241.1351.1031.169
Jun 20241.1341.1031.166
Jul 20241.1341.1031.166
Aug 20241.1351.1041.168
Sep 20241.1331.1031.165
Oct 20241.1331.1021.165
Nov 20241.1361.1051.168
Dec 20241.1261.0941.159
Jan 20251.1161.0841.148
Feb 20251.1151.0871.143
Mar 20251.1221.0901.155
Apr 20251.1291.1011.158
May 20251.1321.1021.162
Jun 20251.1191.0891.150
Jul 20251.1021.0761.128
Aug 20251.1291.0981.162
Sep 20251.1161.0811.151
Oct 20251.1081.0731.145
Nov 20251.1101.0741.147
Dec 20251.1081.0741.144
Jan 20261.1041.0701.140
Feb 20261.1411.1011.183
Mar 20261.1411.1001.183
Apr 20261.1371.0951.180
May 20261.1271.0851.171
Jun 20261.1231.0811.166
Jul 20261.1101.0671.156
The cushion is gone, and it went in the 1990s. In the five years to Dec 1996 the grower's price absorbed 0.44 times the world price's monthly volatility — less than half of what it was handed. Today it absorbs 1.11 times: slightly more than all of it. The first window at or above full transmission ends May 2004 and it has never gone back, peaking at 1.33 in the window to Oct 2007. Shuffling the era labels puts the gap of +0.69 beyond anything chance produced in 20,000 draws.
What the page said qualitatively, this measures. The pass-through section above notes that the internal price is administered rather than quoted, and that the ratio compresses in spikes and widens in slumps. That is the signature of a mechanism that damps. This says how much damping there is and when it stopped — and the answer is that the damping was real in the early 1990s and has been absent for roughly twenty years. A grower today is exposed to the world market on essentially the terms the world market sets.
We could find no ratchet, and that is worth stating plainly. Splitting the months into those when the world price rose (n=209) and fell (n=206) gives slopes of 0.65 and 0.75 — a gap of -0.10 with a permutation p of 0.36. Declines are not passed through faster than rallies, nor rallies faster than declines. This is a null, it is reported as one, and it is the kind of result that would have been easy to leave out.
Why the headline is a variance ratio and not a slope. The obvious estimator is the regression of the grower's monthly step on the world's, drawn as the dotted line. It is not safe to lead with: noise in the driver attenuates a slope, and the two directions of the regression bracket the true value. For the first window that bracket is [0.20, 0.98] — too wide to identify anything — against [1.07, 1.16] for the last. The early slope cannot carry a reading while the modern one can, which is precisely the wrong way round for a claim about change. The variance ratio needs no regression, and noise in the driver inflates its denominator — making the measured early decline conservative rather than flattering.
The denominator is the FNC's own Ex-Dock price, and it is itself smoothed. Ex-Dock is a weighted average of the period's sales, so it under-states the world price's monthly move: over the 246 months where both exist it moves 1.17 times less than the KC board, and the same grower steps regress on it at 1.08 against 0.92 on KC. That is where readings above 1 come from — it is not over-transmission. Ex-Dock is used anyway because it is the only world-price series reaching back to 1991, and a 1.17x scaling cannot produce a rise from 0.44 to 1.11. Read the shape and the turning point with confidence; read the level with the denominator named beside it. The parchment-to-green factor cancels from every number here, as it does from the decomposition below. Precio interno and Ex-Dock © Federación Nacional de Cafeteros de Colombia; TRM from the Superintendencia Financiera via datos.gov.co.
2,245k
Precio interno, COP/carga
Jul 2026 · -5.3% year on year
+245k
Board (KC)
arabica futures in US cents
-491k
Currency (COP)
pesos per dollar · TRM
+121k
Basis / differential
Colombian premium, quality, FNC deductions
Month-over-month attribution of the precio interno, COP per 125kg carga
MonthPrecio internoBoardCurrencyBasis
Aug 20231,319,097-43,185+483+43,024
Sep 20231,285,967-23,697-21,357+11,924
Oct 20231,379,065+29,439+70,576-6,917
Nov 20231,406,448+174,938-62,039-85,516
Dec 20231,468,258+136,916-32,636-42,471
Jan 20241,423,000-57,130-12,137+24,009
Feb 20241,456,862+42,739+5,961-14,838
Mar 20241,440,129-17,650-11,875+12,791
Apr 20241,661,933+245,924-12,533-11,587
May 20241,596,129-83,665+474+17,386
Jun 20241,817,033+128,500+74,852+17,553
Jul 20241,876,387+77,724-2,686-15,685
Aug 20241,943,323+45,797+13,493+7,646
Sep 20242,120,233+114,727+57,600+4,583
Oct 20242,173,290-41,592+34,096+60,553
Nov 20242,456,567+229,383+85,073-31,179
Dec 20242,764,871+373,964-13,964-51,695
Jan 20252,751,258+119,213-49,244-83,582
Feb 20253,118,571+526,935-125,250-34,371
Mar 20253,054,452-83,834+7,267+12,447
Apr 20253,044,433-107,508+103,327-5,838
May 20253,012,759-5,459-54,894+28,678
Jun 20252,700,567-332,908-61,757+82,473
Jul 20252,369,903-307,618-45,152+22,106
Aug 20252,758,032+354,029+4,160+29,940
Sep 20252,966,133+354,078-90,034-55,943
Oct 20252,954,935+43,156-33,681-20,673
Nov 20252,889,633+113,297-69,918-108,680
Dec 20252,745,226-226,355+3,934+78,013
Jan 20262,627,903-146,507-63,443+92,627
Feb 20262,174,143-442,013-17,800+6,052
Mar 20262,227,129+25,851+24,952+2,183
Apr 20262,229,900-10,614-60,800+74,185
May 20262,229,129-135,548+58,723+76,054
Jun 20262,086,867-94,072-127,460+79,270
Jul 20262,244,839+449,848-149,161-142,715
Over the last twelve months the precio interno fell 5.3%, and the peso did most of it. The board contributed +245k COP per carga, the peso -491k and the differential +121k, for a net -125k. The three are not a ranking of importance in general — they are what each one did over this particular window, and the mix turns over.
This is the question the pass-through ratio cannot answer, which is why both are here. Pass-through is a level: how much of what the world paid reached the farm. This is an attribution of a change: of the move in what the grower was actually paid, which term delivered it. A season can move the two in opposite directions — a strengthening peso cuts the peso price while leaving the grower's share of the world price untouched, because the share is computed in a single currency and this is not.
Read it against the Brazilian pages. The same identity holds for a Brazilian bag in reais, and the arabica report carries it. Two origins can post an almost identical fall in local-currency terms out of completely different mixtures — one a currency story with a differential that cushioned it, the other a differential story the board was fighting. The headline percentage hides that; the decomposition is the only way to see it.
An identity, not a causal model — and unlike the ratio above, the conversion factor does not touch it. The three terms sum to the observed change because they are defined to; nothing here says the peso moved the differential, and in practice it often does. But the parchment-to-green factor that sets the LEVEL of the pass-through cancels exactly out of this section: 0.80 and 0.7447 return identical attributions to the last peso, because a constant scalar contributes nothing to a change. The basis term is genuinely everything between New York and the purchase point — the Colombian differential, cup and quality, and the FNC's own deductions — and it is reported as a term rather than buried as a residual. Precio interno © Federación Nacional de Cafeteros de Colombia; TRM from the Superintendencia Financiera via datos.gov.co.
Where this series connects to the other two pages. Production is the only one of these measures that Brazil and Colombia both publish promptly. Cost coverage tells you what a grower is being paid to maintain a tree; the park census tells you what the trees actually are; production is where both eventually show up. Reading the three together is the point of this series.

CONAB surveys what it costs to produce a bag in Brazil, twice a year, farm by farm. Brazil has no tree-age census — IBGE counts plants without recording age, and CONAB's formação versus produção split conflates new plantings with severe pruning. The FNC's SICA census records the age and technification of every Colombian hectare, and Colombia publishes no comparable cost survey.

Neither origin can see the whole mechanism on its own. Margin is what decides whether a tree gets fertilized; the age and condition of the park is what that decision produces, two to five years later. Brazil measures the first half and Colombia the second. That is why these three pages are built to one method and sent as one set — the comparison is the analysis, and none of them is a report about a single institution's numbers.

Park composition and area: Federación Nacional de Cafeteros de Colombia, SICA census, by department. Ex-Dock price: FNC monthly series, US cents per lb of green. COP/USD: TRM, Superintendencia Financiera / Banco de la República via datos.gov.co, expanded across each rate's validity span and averaged by calendar month. Production: FNC monthly series, 60kg green-equivalent bags. Yield is national production divided by national area and is a SoftSignal calculation, as are the technification shares and the differenced correlation test; any error in them is ours. Colombia's carga is 125kg of parchment and Brazil's saca is 60kg green — the production series above is already in 60kg green-equivalent bags as the FNC publishes it.
Colombia coffee park composition and productivity by year
YearYoung (k ha)Aged (k ha)Traditional (k ha)Total (k ha)Young %Aged %Yield (bags/ha)
2007498.8233.5147.4879.756.726.514.38
2008534.2210.5133.9878.660.824.013.06
2009562.5197.3122.6882.463.722.48.80
2010620.7195.598.2914.467.921.49.76
2011660.9185.175.1921.171.820.18.48
2012705.7169.555.8931.175.818.28.32
2013774.4154.645.0974.079.515.911.18
2014777.2136.634.7948.581.914.412.80
2015778.0133.829.1940.982.714.215.07
2016772.1133.526.2931.782.914.315.27
2017758.9124.120.9904.084.013.715.70
2018751.0110.315.8877.185.612.615.46
2019733.5108.711.5853.785.912.717.28
2020700.2134.110.4844.782.915.916.44
2021689.0142.28.9840.182.016.914.97
2022684.9150.27.3842.481.317.813.16
2023683.0153.05.4841.481.218.213.49
2024678.2155.44.1837.781.018.616.71
Colombia precio interno, monthly, nominal COP per 125kg carga
MonthCOP per carga (nominal)
2015-01768548
2015-02724982
2015-03684923
2015-04687371
2015-05631319
2015-06671900
2015-07678778
2015-08772657
2015-09718671
2015-10733637
2015-11735033
2015-12789258
2016-01787528
2016-02791776
2016-03799129
2016-04756367
2016-05755323
2016-06794433
2016-07835516
2016-08794032
2016-09860867
2016-10914613
2016-111007533
2016-12860806
2017-01883226
2017-02859286
2017-03850065
2017-04804900
2017-05802516
2017-06783400
2017-07849323
2017-08851903
2017-09813762
2017-10776919
2017-11784504
2017-12757968
2018-01763903
2018-02745031
2018-03729855
2018-04715325
2018-05754210
2018-06746400
2018-07717839
2018-08705065
2018-09686933
2018-10796774
2018-11804283
2018-12727645
2019-01727274
2019-02708089
2019-03690581
2019-04680567
2019-05724065
2019-06779917
2019-07796484
2019-08798935
2019-09815450
2019-10819581
2019-11909600
2019-12999129
2020-01886161
2020-02909103
2020-031143194
2020-041175567
2020-051068871
2020-06962800
2020-071001452
2020-081143968
2020-091142233
2020-101052484
2020-111044700
2020-121047677
2021-011073194
2021-021113536
2021-031156032
2021-041207433
2021-051385935
2021-061420800
2021-071562742
2021-081704806
2021-091712138
2021-101784935
2021-111999655
2021-122116484
2022-012148333
2022-022213333
2022-031988774
2022-042027448
2022-052096733
2022-062172233
2022-072250290
2022-082315548
2022-092398967
2022-102277290
2022-111990067
2022-121933032
2023-011838032
2023-022075286
2023-031993129
2023-041978900
2023-051895968
2023-061577900
2023-071318774
2023-081319097
2023-091285967
2023-101379065
2023-111406448
2023-121468258
2024-011423000
2024-021456862
2024-031440129
2024-041661933
2024-051596129
2024-061817033
2024-071876387
2024-081943323
2024-092120233
2024-102173290
2024-112456567
2024-122764871
2025-012751258
2025-023118571
2025-033054452
2025-043044433
2025-053012759
2025-062700567
2025-072369903
2025-082758032
2025-092966133
2025-102954935
2025-112889633
2025-122745226
2026-012627903
2026-022174143
2026-032227129
2026-042229900
2026-052229129
2026-062086867
2026-072244839
Colombia grower share of the Ex-Dock price, monthly
MonthPrecio interno (USc/lb green)Ex-Dock (USc/lb)TRM (COP/USD)Grower share %
1991-1272.0084.10629.9885.61
1992-0170.4380.75644.0687.22
1992-0269.1473.01635.6794.70
1992-0367.2874.94640.5089.77
1992-0466.3071.96649.9692.13
1992-0565.3166.60659.7798.07
1992-0663.6365.47677.1797.20
1992-0757.8263.09704.7791.65
1992-0855.5456.60694.1798.13
1992-0955.2857.08697.5096.84
1992-1054.4764.82707.8084.04
1992-1153.3671.52722.5774.61
1992-1252.5482.21733.8363.91
1993-0151.7472.47745.1871.39
1993-0251.4369.21749.7374.30
1993-0350.4269.06764.7073.01
1993-0453.3463.39771.4784.15
1993-0553.4769.30779.4577.15
1993-0653.1271.00784.4974.82
1993-0752.4279.25795.0066.15
1993-0852.9984.85804.6462.45
1993-0958.8287.88809.6966.93
1993-1058.4883.79814.4869.79
1993-1158.5185.07813.9468.78
1993-1259.2986.58803.2868.48
1994-0158.3986.22815.7467.72
1994-0265.6892.00817.5971.39
1994-0366.4092.66819.8071.66
1994-0465.6394.56829.3569.41
1994-0568.86128.71841.4153.50
1994-0677.69150.16831.1651.74
1994-0794.24227.27818.8641.47
1994-08100.22210.91814.6747.52
1994-09109.71231.88829.7647.31
1994-10112.15209.24839.0553.60
1994-11111.86188.33829.5259.39
1994-12108.16175.38829.4461.67
1995-01105.65179.48846.3258.87
1995-02103.81175.23850.5259.24
1995-03102.46187.67865.4254.60
1995-04102.05182.61872.9955.88
1995-05105.29182.71876.7657.63
1995-06106.75181.00874.5258.98
1995-07102.98169.47892.3260.77
1995-0897.68163.25935.6659.84
1995-0994.87145.41963.3765.25
1995-1092.78134.94985.1068.76
1995-1191.36133.021000.4368.68
1995-1292.59114.34987.1280.98
1996-0186.81117.011010.2274.19
1996-0283.75136.061029.0961.55
1996-0382.47130.521044.9763.19
1996-0484.51133.781050.7063.17
1996-0585.76143.191065.7759.89
1996-0685.29132.421071.6164.41
1996-0785.90136.031063.9763.15
1996-0892.70137.681045.0367.33
1996-09102.70125.181040.1282.04
1996-10105.19126.991015.4682.84
1996-11106.96132.75998.6680.58
1996-12101.95126.171001.6180.80
1997-0198.09144.821024.3067.73
1997-02113.99184.661072.9561.73
1997-03153.27212.751062.0172.04
1997-04148.32215.451060.2568.84
1997-05169.39262.921074.5364.43
1997-06172.21247.751082.2169.51
1997-07137.14201.061102.5168.21
1997-08131.29204.881133.6064.08
1997-09122.39206.631222.8359.23
1997-10117.12177.461262.6766.00
1997-11108.99171.281294.5663.63
1997-12117.23184.061295.5763.69
1998-01119.34185.011321.4364.50
1998-02124.50189.171346.2965.81
1998-03109.24164.941357.1266.23
1998-04111.47160.531359.9369.44
1998-0599.59146.141385.3668.15
1998-0698.35135.531384.5072.57
1998-0799.20127.251371.6977.96
1998-0897.94138.361390.7170.79
1998-0989.32123.651523.4872.24
1998-1087.76121.991588.0171.94
1998-1193.11131.161562.1670.99
1998-1293.96130.941520.4871.75
1999-0193.59129.441567.9772.30
1999-0290.47120.301566.8575.20
1999-0391.50120.801549.2075.74
1999-0490.25117.191570.6377.01
1999-0587.92127.711642.1868.85
1999-0688.49124.551691.6171.05
1999-0782.49111.951814.6573.68
1999-0879.66107.541879.0074.08
1999-0975.75102.921975.9673.60
1999-1075.65105.771978.5571.53
1999-1184.55123.111945.4368.68
1999-1296.76138.191887.4770.02
2000-0187.65126.561921.8969.26
2000-0282.42119.871949.8768.76
2000-0383.47117.691956.3170.93
2000-0479.30109.771987.9572.24
2000-0578.06111.842055.5369.80
2000-0673.12102.402119.7571.40
2000-0772.48103.782160.2469.84
2000-0868.4690.772187.2775.42
2000-0967.6091.942214.1473.53
2000-1068.7791.682176.5775.01
2000-1170.1082.252135.2985.23
2000-1268.4378.942187.3486.69
2001-0165.0776.972242.3184.54
2001-0258.9473.752243.5979.92
2001-0359.1374.252279.4079.64
2001-0461.1876.112323.1980.38
2001-0565.6781.362348.0080.72
2001-0658.0072.032304.7880.52
2001-0755.1569.282304.4279.60
2001-0856.2570.172288.0080.16
2001-0956.0470.162327.7479.87
2001-1050.9963.142320.0080.75
2001-1153.9862.452310.3486.44
2001-1253.1062.402306.1385.09
2002-0155.0862.462276.9788.18
2002-0253.7760.742285.9688.52
2002-0359.0568.602280.2586.08
2002-0461.7068.282263.6090.36
2002-0555.8965.702308.6085.06
2002-0653.3861.482361.1486.82
2002-0747.9360.892506.2978.71
2002-0844.6156.922645.8078.37
2002-0949.7664.102755.7577.62
2002-1049.9667.852830.1173.64
2002-1153.5670.022731.3376.49
2002-1246.0565.612814.1970.18
2003-0150.5667.032905.5075.43
2003-0249.3367.012950.5473.61
2003-0345.9362.832958.6473.11
2003-0448.4665.082925.6674.47
2003-0549.9066.162856.1775.43
2003-0646.6061.742827.4175.48
2003-0750.6664.592859.2078.44
2003-0847.6165.852865.2372.30
2003-0949.2867.652840.6872.84
2003-1046.7566.102873.9570.74
2003-1147.5764.962846.5473.23
2003-1249.2266.512806.5574.01
2004-0155.1471.322750.8277.31
2004-0255.8876.592718.2572.96
2004-0358.1978.262670.9274.36
2004-0456.1975.662641.5774.27
2004-0557.7576.242719.5275.74
2004-0663.3583.312716.4676.05
2004-0754.8077.322651.1370.88
2004-0855.4774.792599.3774.17
2004-0962.4480.352553.4277.72
2004-1061.7183.342580.2474.04
2004-1169.5890.882530.1676.56
2004-1279.47104.892413.2975.76
2005-0180.12107.882364.5274.27
2005-0293.90119.382339.6278.65
2005-03107.51135.562356.8179.31
2005-04100.12129.002351.0277.61
2005-0597.56130.192339.3574.94
2005-0690.32123.672331.4473.03
2005-0780.99112.322322.7972.10
2005-0880.79109.752306.7773.61
2005-0975.76102.812295.4773.69
2005-1085.15104.682292.7281.35
2005-1189.67109.142279.7482.16
2005-1289.16107.122278.5483.24
2006-01104.78124.302273.7184.29
2006-0295.75123.042255.7777.82
2006-0389.29116.942261.9276.35
2006-0490.90117.422335.1477.41
2006-0585.87113.792418.6575.47
2006-0680.18106.132542.2275.55
2006-0781.52107.622513.7075.74
2006-0887.53113.382388.9877.21
2006-0983.55112.962398.7173.96
2006-1082.41112.292361.8073.40
2006-1194.20122.232290.4477.07
2006-12102.30131.612260.7177.73
2007-0196.84127.172236.2076.15
2007-0295.97123.852227.5777.49
2007-0390.68119.492202.8475.89
2007-0489.82116.962144.9076.79
2007-0591.91114.912009.4279.98
2007-06100.35120.631923.5383.19
2007-0797.11120.831951.8480.37
2007-0899.27125.052056.0979.38
2007-09103.80129.062113.3780.43
2007-10112.52137.102001.0982.08
2007-11108.51132.622046.3681.82
2007-12113.88139.772013.8381.48
2008-01114.71142.251983.1880.64
2008-02129.58155.181905.2983.50
2008-03121.56157.101843.4977.38
2008-04111.16141.511795.1078.55
2008-05111.17143.721775.1677.36
2008-06119.17146.781732.2981.19
2008-07118.12153.341781.0577.03
2008-08122.74150.131847.4881.76
2008-09119.07150.282066.1979.23
2008-10102.23133.292288.8676.70
2008-11101.83129.872333.6678.41
2008-12102.59131.422251.5178.06
2009-01114.88139.172253.5182.55
2009-02115.30145.222512.3479.40
2009-03121.29151.362469.6380.14
2009-04146.20177.392374.6182.42
2009-05170.09206.062227.3282.54
2009-06144.68200.912089.4672.01
2009-07142.17186.972049.2476.04
2009-08151.19187.862017.6280.48
2009-09140.75178.011978.0379.07
2009-10134.95177.521901.4076.02
2009-11135.74177.491976.8876.48
2009-12151.30191.172018.0179.14
2010-01163.91204.671983.4380.08
2010-02157.69205.191951.7276.85
2010-03163.54205.551908.9979.56
2010-04154.56201.941937.4576.54
2010-05154.80199.371983.5977.64
2010-06176.62219.271926.8580.55
2010-07196.17235.581874.4183.27
2010-08207.92243.691821.2085.32
2010-09201.36248.521805.7781.02
2010-10188.40230.831808.6181.62
2010-11192.42243.901862.9978.89
2010-12211.56256.601922.3382.45
2011-01230.39279.361867.0882.47
2011-02246.83294.561882.3783.80
2011-03260.08301.111881.8186.38
2011-04268.40308.551809.8386.99
2011-05257.42306.951800.5183.86
2011-06245.50288.571783.1685.07
2011-07239.84286.761761.5983.64
2011-08244.65281.801785.5686.82
2011-09241.40296.131833.3281.52
2011-10216.16258.241907.6183.70
2011-11218.73256.941919.4785.13
2011-12210.66252.741933.3583.35
2012-01214.12256.121853.2883.60
2012-02210.22246.301782.7585.35
2012-03186.84226.071766.3382.65
2012-04179.73215.291774.2583.48
2012-05169.55209.511793.2880.93
2012-06149.93185.881792.5580.66
2012-07164.80200.921783.8282.02
2012-08153.65188.581805.5281.48
2012-09156.86189.281802.7582.87
2012-10148.18183.161804.4080.90
2012-11134.18171.101821.0178.42
2012-12131.91166.051792.4979.44
2013-01135.33168.831769.6780.16
2013-02127.78162.531790.5578.62
2013-03128.17161.751813.7579.24
2013-04127.77162.191830.2378.78
2013-05125.43160.001847.9278.39
2013-06113.16148.421909.8576.24
2013-07111.45147.531901.5475.54
2013-08107.82144.291902.1074.72
2013-09102.93139.121919.5173.98
2013-1097.98135.171885.1372.49
2013-1190.83125.361921.7572.45
2013-1294.25125.921932.9674.85
2014-0199.57131.971957.2975.45
2014-02134.02159.682038.4983.93
2014-03170.40210.152019.7181.09
2014-04186.47216.081938.3686.29
2014-05176.17216.421915.3681.40
2014-06159.83195.871887.0481.60
2014-07157.41193.031857.6481.55
2014-08171.01210.411898.1381.28
2014-09164.48208.091973.7279.04
2014-10178.45223.102048.5779.99
2014-11164.41206.742128.6879.52
2014-12151.39193.332342.2578.31
2015-01145.42185.312397.2678.47
2015-02135.85177.092420.6776.71
2015-03120.17155.882585.3677.09
2015-04124.45156.462505.2579.54
2015-05117.48152.332437.5477.12
2015-06118.94151.132562.4878.70
2015-07112.70145.922732.0477.23
2015-08116.34147.133012.5979.07
2015-09106.31136.423066.4177.93
2015-10113.59142.782929.4779.56
2015-11111.08138.403001.3880.26
2015-12110.35139.693244.2079.00
2016-01109.23136.433270.2080.07
2016-02107.05137.193354.9678.03
2016-03115.85144.373128.7980.25
2016-04114.45144.552997.7379.18
2016-05114.45144.582993.5179.16
2016-06120.40153.942992.8678.21
2016-07127.99164.042961.0078.03
2016-08121.98160.732952.7775.89
2016-09133.53167.622924.2779.67
2016-10141.62170.552929.3983.04
2016-11146.94179.783110.2681.73
2016-12129.73160.923009.8680.62
2017-01136.20163.712941.4083.20
2017-02135.36164.812879.5782.13
2017-03131.05159.232942.2982.30
2017-04126.87156.002877.8281.32
2017-05124.51151.242923.6182.33
2017-06120.17146.862957.1081.82
2017-07126.87150.913036.5884.07
2017-08129.97156.462973.2083.07
2017-09126.54151.572917.0983.48
2017-10119.31145.012953.7682.28
2017-11118.08143.853013.4782.09
2017-12114.92142.512991.7680.64
2018-01120.79143.482868.5784.19
2018-02118.15142.352860.2583.00
2018-03116.24139.792847.9383.16
2018-04117.29139.002766.2884.39
2018-05119.54140.502861.8385.08
2018-06117.16139.172889.6984.18
2018-07112.85134.852885.3283.69
2018-08108.09130.992958.6782.52
2018-09102.71126.533033.7781.17
2018-10117.16138.803084.8384.40
2018-11114.22140.753194.0381.15
2018-12102.55129.623218.5579.11
2019-01104.22128.683165.1981.00
2019-02103.08128.973115.8479.93
2019-03100.12125.473128.6879.80
2019-0497.82124.073155.7678.84
2019-0599.39123.133304.4980.72
2019-06108.50132.773260.5281.72
2019-07112.67138.413206.6081.40
2019-08106.25129.893410.7381.80
2019-09108.81131.353399.4682.83
2019-10108.28131.883433.3182.11
2019-11121.30143.523401.4784.52
2019-12134.16160.173378.0583.76
2020-01121.39150.803311.1980.50
2020-02120.89144.133411.0583.88
2020-03133.75157.313877.0585.02
2020-04134.06164.623977.3981.44
2020-05125.66155.823858.1980.65
2020-06117.98149.243701.6079.06
2020-07124.18151.293657.8782.08
2020-08137.16167.633783.0381.82
2020-09138.15169.843750.2281.34
2020-10124.52156.753833.7979.44
2020-11128.57161.603685.6379.56
2020-12137.10169.993466.1380.65
2021-01139.43175.243491.3279.56
2021-02142.10177.283554.5080.16
2021-03145.14179.153612.7781.02
2021-04150.02181.683650.7882.57
2021-05168.28196.263735.6785.75
2021-06174.89206.113685.0484.85
2021-07185.11214.443829.4286.32
2021-08199.24226.903881.1887.81
2021-09203.22238.323821.5485.27
2021-10214.56257.133773.3883.45
2021-11232.40273.643902.9084.93
2021-12242.24291.953963.1382.97
2022-01243.64293.203999.6283.10
2022-02255.08305.523935.8483.49
2022-03236.95287.913807.1782.30
2022-04242.46292.583792.9882.87
2022-05236.64285.194019.0882.98
2022-06250.67301.243930.7783.21
2022-07233.69286.994367.8181.43
2022-08242.99292.524322.4783.07
2022-09245.43296.464433.6582.79
2022-10219.23269.494711.8381.35
2022-11183.22225.104926.6681.40
2022-12183.11223.894788.4981.78
2023-01176.81218.244715.2081.02
2023-02195.98237.044803.1182.68
2023-03189.68228.244766.3183.10
2023-04197.60232.374542.6785.04
2023-05189.42229.084540.0982.69
2023-06170.04215.444209.2778.93
2023-07147.00190.334069.2377.23
2023-08146.98188.714070.7377.89
2023-09145.66186.004004.5278.31
2023-10148.15184.974222.4380.09
2023-11157.96194.464038.8081.23
2023-12168.68206.923948.2181.52
2024-01164.86206.563915.2079.81
2024-02168.09210.133931.4479.99
2024-03167.52207.553899.3480.72
2024-04194.89237.313867.9882.13
2024-05187.12232.353869.1080.53
2024-06203.87249.944042.8081.57
2024-07210.83257.984036.9281.72
2024-08216.82261.004065.5583.07
2024-09229.94276.254182.5183.24
2024-10231.98280.044249.4782.84
2024-11252.75293.944408.6585.99
2024-12285.99340.524385.1583.99
2025-01289.71345.954307.5783.74
2025-02342.68408.114127.9583.97
2025-03334.84404.084137.6882.87
2025-04322.63390.214280.2682.68
2025-05325.11401.824203.3880.91
2025-06297.79366.974113.4881.15
2025-07266.03323.664040.8582.19
2025-08309.09352.684047.4187.64
2025-09343.02406.153922.2184.46
2025-10345.64401.703877.8486.04
2025-11346.18407.653786.1884.92
2025-12328.42384.993791.4785.31
2026-01321.90371.863703.0086.56
2026-02268.30337.183675.6479.57
2026-03271.74335.203717.5681.07
2026-04279.60335.113617.5283.43
2026-05272.24325.053714.0283.75
2026-06270.38319.373500.9884.66
2026-07311.49378.193268.9582.36