Cost coverage is the MG arabica price divided by CONAB's surveyed cost of production for the same site, as a percentage. Three hurdles are shown: variable cost (cash inputs), operational cost (variable plus fixed), and total economic cost (operational plus renda de fatores, the imputed opportunity cost of land, own capital and family labor). Costs are surveyed roughly twice a year and carried forward between surveys; prices are monthly.
A note on where the price is measured. The CCCMG quotation is delivered São Paulo, NPR-discounted and ex-tax, whereas the Espírito Santo page in this series uses a farmgate quote. The two coverage levels are therefore not directly comparable, and we have not tried to force them onto one basis: road haulage from the coffee belt to Santos runs roughly R$8–11 a bag against a quoted MG–ES gap of about R$128, so a freight netback would imply a precision the correction does not carry. We state the difference instead of adjusting for it.
We publish the coverage ratio and not CONAB's underlying cost level: that is a transformative statistic rather than a redistribution of their series, and it is in any case the more informative object — an absolute cost per bag says little without the price beside it.
| Month | T6 dura R$/60kg | Cost vintage | Vintage age (months) | Assumed yield (sc/ha) | Variable cover % | Operational cover % | Total cover % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-01 | 423 | 2017-11 | 2 | 35.0 | 112.0 | 103.1 | 96.7 |
| 2018-02 | 421 | 2017-11 | 3 | 35.0 | 111.5 | 102.6 | 96.3 |
| 2018-03 | 416 | 2018-03 | 0 | 35.0 | 108.1 | 96.2 | 90.9 |
| 2018-04 | 427 | 2018-03 | 1 | 35.0 | 110.9 | 98.8 | 93.4 |
| 2018-05 | 448 | 2018-03 | 2 | 35.0 | 116.4 | 103.6 | 97.9 |
| 2018-06 | 442 | 2018-03 | 3 | 35.0 | 114.8 | 102.3 | 96.6 |
| 2018-07 | 423 | 2018-07 | 0 | 35.0 | 84.2 | 76.7 | 73.7 |
| 2018-08 | 414 | 2018-07 | 1 | 35.0 | 82.4 | 75.1 | 72.1 |
| 2018-09 | 407 | 2018-07 | 2 | 35.0 | 81.0 | 73.8 | 70.9 |
| 2018-10 | 423 | 2018-07 | 3 | 35.0 | 84.2 | 76.7 | 73.7 |
| 2018-11 | 415 | 2018-11 | 0 | 35.0 | 96.7 | 86.4 | 82.8 |
| 2018-12 | 396 | 2018-11 | 1 | 35.0 | 92.3 | 82.4 | 79.0 |
| 2019-01 | 403 | 2018-11 | 2 | 35.0 | 93.9 | 83.9 | 80.4 |
| 2019-02 | 384 | 2018-11 | 3 | 35.0 | 89.5 | 79.9 | 76.6 |
| 2019-03 | 381 | 2018-11 | 4 | 35.0 | 88.8 | 79.3 | 76.0 |
| 2019-04 | 374 | 2018-11 | 5 | 35.0 | 87.2 | 77.8 | 74.6 |
| 2019-05 | 414 | 2018-11 | 6 | 35.0 | 96.5 | 86.2 | 82.6 |
| 2019-06 | 427 | 2018-11 | 7 | 35.0 | 99.5 | 88.9 | 85.2 |
| 2019-07 | 390 | 2018-11 | 8 | 35.0 | 90.9 | 81.2 | 77.8 |
| 2019-08 | 408 | 2018-11 | 9 | 35.0 | 95.1 | 84.9 | 81.4 |
| 2019-09 | 424 | 2018-11 | 10 | 35.0 | 98.8 | 88.2 | 84.6 |
| 2019-10 | 422 | 2018-11 | 11 | 35.0 | 98.3 | 87.8 | 84.2 |
| 2019-11 | 500 | 2019-11 | 0 | 26.0 | 133.3 | 118.5 | 108.1 |
| 2019-12 | 532 | 2019-11 | 1 | 26.0 | 141.9 | 126.1 | 115.0 |
| 2020-01 | 462 | 2019-11 | 2 | 26.0 | 123.2 | 109.5 | 99.9 |
| 2020-02 | 504 | 2019-11 | 3 | 26.0 | 134.4 | 119.4 | 109.0 |
| 2020-03 | 567 | 2020-03 | 0 | 26.0 | 153.9 | 122.6 | 115.2 |
| 2020-04 | 557 | 2020-03 | 1 | 26.0 | 151.2 | 120.4 | 113.2 |
| 2020-05 | 516 | 2020-03 | 2 | 26.0 | 140.1 | 111.6 | 104.8 |
| 2020-06 | 511 | 2020-03 | 3 | 26.0 | 138.7 | 110.5 | 103.8 |
| 2020-07 | 571 | 2020-03 | 4 | 26.0 | 155.0 | 123.5 | 116.0 |
| 2020-08 | 600 | 2020-03 | 5 | 26.0 | 162.9 | 129.7 | 121.9 |
| 2020-09 | 531 | 2020-03 | 6 | 26.0 | 144.2 | 114.8 | 107.9 |
| 2020-10 | 537 | 2020-03 | 7 | 26.0 | 145.8 | 116.1 | 109.1 |
| 2020-11 | 616 | 2020-11 | 0 | 26.0 | 165.8 | 133.5 | 131.9 |
| 2020-12 | 612 | 2020-11 | 1 | 26.0 | 164.7 | 132.6 | 131.1 |
| 2021-01 | 657 | 2020-11 | 2 | 26.0 | 176.9 | 142.4 | 140.7 |
| 2021-02 | 733 | 2020-11 | 3 | 26.0 | 197.3 | 158.9 | 157.0 |
| 2021-03 | 704 | 2021-03 | 0 | 26.0 | 161.5 | 128.3 | 127.3 |
| 2021-04 | 768 | 2021-03 | 1 | 26.0 | 176.2 | 140.0 | 138.9 |
| 2021-05 | 870 | 2021-03 | 2 | 26.0 | 199.6 | 158.6 | 157.4 |
| 2021-06 | 835 | 2021-03 | 3 | 26.0 | 191.6 | 152.2 | 151.0 |
| 2021-07 | 986 | 2021-03 | 4 | 26.0 | 226.2 | 179.7 | 178.3 |
| 2021-08 | 1058 | 2021-03 | 5 | 26.0 | 242.8 | 192.8 | 191.4 |
| 2021-09 | 1152 | 2021-03 | 6 | 26.0 | 264.3 | 210.0 | 208.4 |
| 2021-10 | 1240 | 2021-03 | 7 | 26.0 | 284.5 | 226.0 | 224.3 |
| 2021-11 | 1394 | 2021-11 | 0 | 26.0 | 211.6 | 171.2 | 168.6 |
| 2021-12 | 1417 | 2021-11 | 1 | 26.0 | 215.0 | 174.0 | 171.4 |
| 2022-01 | 1435 | 2021-11 | 2 | 26.0 | 217.8 | 176.2 | 173.5 |
| 2022-02 | 1421 | 2021-11 | 3 | 26.0 | 215.7 | 174.5 | 171.9 |
| 2022-03 | 1236 | 2022-03 | 0 | 26.0 | 190.1 | 150.2 | 147.1 |
| 2022-04 | 1276 | 2022-03 | 1 | 26.0 | 196.3 | 155.1 | 151.8 |
| 2022-05 | 1275 | 2022-03 | 2 | 26.0 | 196.1 | 155.0 | 151.7 |
| 2022-06 | 1366 | 2022-03 | 3 | 26.0 | 210.1 | 166.1 | 162.6 |
| 2022-07 | 1297 | 2022-03 | 4 | 26.0 | 199.5 | 157.7 | 154.3 |
| 2022-08 | 1325 | 2022-03 | 5 | 26.0 | 203.8 | 161.1 | 157.7 |
| 2022-09 | 1271 | 2022-03 | 6 | 26.0 | 195.5 | 154.5 | 151.2 |
| 2022-10 | 1000 | 2022-03 | 7 | 26.0 | 153.8 | 121.6 | 119.0 |
| 2022-11 | 1004 | 2022-11 | 0 | 26.0 | 157.8 | 129.0 | 123.6 |
| 2022-12 | 1030 | 2022-11 | 1 | 26.0 | 161.9 | 132.3 | 126.8 |
| 2023-01 | 1113 | 2022-11 | 2 | 26.0 | 174.9 | 143.0 | 137.1 |
| 2023-02 | 1147 | 2022-11 | 3 | 26.0 | 180.3 | 147.4 | 141.2 |
| 2023-03 | 1045 | 2023-03 | 0 | 26.0 | 180.2 | 141.9 | 135.3 |
| 2023-04 | 1069 | 2023-03 | 1 | 26.0 | 184.3 | 145.2 | 138.4 |
| 2023-05 | 995 | 2023-03 | 2 | 26.0 | 171.6 | 135.1 | 128.8 |
| 2023-06 | 806 | 2023-03 | 3 | 26.0 | 139.0 | 109.5 | 104.3 |
| 2023-07 | 830 | 2023-03 | 4 | 26.0 | 143.1 | 112.7 | 107.4 |
| 2023-08 | 827 | 2023-03 | 5 | 26.0 | 142.6 | 112.3 | 107.1 |
| 2023-09 | 804 | 2023-03 | 6 | 26.0 | 138.6 | 109.2 | 104.1 |
| 2023-10 | 879 | 2023-03 | 7 | 26.0 | 151.6 | 119.4 | 113.8 |
| 2023-11 | 947 | 2023-11 | 0 | 26.0 | 159.9 | 129.9 | 121.2 |
| 2023-12 | 1013 | 2023-11 | 1 | 26.0 | 171.1 | 138.9 | 129.7 |
| 2024-01 | 1036 | 2023-11 | 2 | 26.0 | 175.0 | 142.1 | 132.6 |
| 2024-02 | 1009 | 2023-11 | 3 | 26.0 | 170.4 | 138.4 | 129.1 |
| 2024-03 | 1044 | 2024-03 | 0 | 26.0 | 179.3 | 142.1 | 131.4 |
| 2024-04 | 1212 | 2024-03 | 1 | 26.0 | 208.1 | 165.0 | 152.5 |
| 2024-05 | 1270 | 2024-03 | 2 | 26.0 | 218.1 | 172.9 | 159.8 |
| 2024-06 | 1353 | 2024-03 | 3 | 26.0 | 232.3 | 184.2 | 170.3 |
| 2024-07 | 1390 | 2024-03 | 4 | 26.0 | 238.7 | 189.2 | 174.9 |
| 2024-08 | 1424 | 2024-03 | 5 | 26.0 | 244.5 | 193.9 | 179.2 |
| 2024-09 | 1506 | 2024-03 | 6 | 26.0 | 258.6 | 205.0 | 189.5 |
| 2024-10 | 1534 | 2024-10 | 0 | 26.0 | 234.9 | 177.6 | 164.9 |
| 2024-11 | 2058 | 2024-10 | 1 | 26.0 | 315.2 | 238.3 | 221.2 |
| 2024-12 | 2186 | 2024-10 | 2 | 26.0 | 334.8 | 253.1 | 235.0 |
| 2025-01 | 2451 | 2024-10 | 3 | 26.0 | 375.4 | 283.8 | 263.5 |
| 2025-02 | 2463 | 2024-10 | 4 | 26.0 | 377.2 | 285.2 | 264.7 |
| 2025-03 | 2515 | 2025-03 | 0 | 26.0 | 337.3 | 237.1 | 222.5 |
| 2025-04 | 2649 | 2025-03 | 1 | 26.0 | 355.2 | 249.7 | 234.4 |
| 2025-05 | 2327 | 2025-03 | 2 | 26.0 | 312.1 | 219.4 | 205.9 |
| 2025-06 | 1844 | 2025-03 | 3 | 26.0 | 247.3 | 173.8 | 163.1 |
| 2025-07 | 1830 | 2025-03 | 4 | 26.0 | 245.4 | 172.5 | 161.9 |
| 2025-08 | 2340 | 2025-03 | 5 | 26.0 | 313.8 | 220.6 | 207.0 |
| 2025-09 | 2149 | 2025-03 | 6 | 26.0 | 288.2 | 202.6 | 190.1 |
| 2025-10 | 2237 | 2025-10 | 0 | 26.0 | 267.3 | 197.3 | 182.9 |
| 2025-11 | 2249 | 2025-10 | 1 | 26.0 | 268.7 | 198.4 | 183.9 |
| 2025-12 | 2157 | 2025-10 | 2 | 26.0 | 257.7 | 190.3 | 176.4 |
| 2026-01 | 2014 | 2025-10 | 3 | 26.0 | 240.6 | 177.6 | 164.7 |
| 2026-02 | 1789 | 2025-10 | 4 | 26.0 | 213.7 | 157.8 | 146.3 |
| 2026-03 | 1871 | 2025-10 | 5 | 26.0 | 223.5 | 165.0 | 153.0 |
| 2026-04 | 1752 | 2025-10 | 6 | 26.0 | 209.3 | 154.5 | 143.3 |
| 2026-05 | 1553 | 2025-10 | 7 | 26.0 | 185.5 | 137.0 | 127.0 |
| 2026-06 | 1672 | 2025-10 | 8 | 26.0 | 199.8 | 147.5 | 136.7 |
| 2026-07 | 1733 | 2025-10 | 9 | 26.0 | 207.0 | 152.9 | 141.7 |
| Month | T6 dura | T7 dura | T6 riada | T7 rio | Discount % of top |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-05 | 458 | 442 | 408 | 368 | 19.65 |
| 2016-06 | 488 | 472 | 440 | 399 | 18.24 |
| 2016-07 | 492 | 477 | 443 | 409 | 16.87 |
| 2016-08 | 481 | 467 | 437 | 403 | 16.22 |
| 2016-09 | 499 | 487 | 453 | 402 | 19.44 |
| 2016-10 | 532 | 519 | 487 | 446 | 16.17 |
| 2016-11 | 521 | 508 | 482 | 446 | 14.40 |
| 2016-12 | 471 | 460 | 435 | 411 | 12.74 |
| 2017-01 | 512 | 503 | 481 | 457 | 10.74 |
| 2017-02 | 487 | 477 | 460 | 439 | 9.86 |
| 2017-03 | 474 | 464 | 453 | 436 | 8.02 |
| 2017-04 | 447 | 437 | 425 | 413 | 7.61 |
| 2017-05 | 449 | 434 | 421 | 409 | 8.91 |
| 2017-06 | 442 | 427 | 414 | 400 | 9.50 |
| 2017-07 | 459 | 445 | 431 | 411 | 10.46 |
| 2017-08 | 440 | 429 | 416 | 401 | 8.86 |
| 2017-09 | 441 | 429 | 417 | 396 | 10.20 |
| 2017-10 | 450 | 438 | 423 | 403 | 10.44 |
| 2017-11 | 458 | 449 | 430 | 412 | 10.04 |
| 2017-12 | 433 | 427 | 410 | 400 | 7.62 |
| 2018-01 | 423 | 418 | 403 | 388 | 8.27 |
| 2018-02 | 421 | 415 | 400 | 380 | 9.74 |
| 2018-03 | 416 | 409 | 394 | 374 | 10.10 |
| 2018-04 | 427 | 419 | 403 | 381 | 10.77 |
| 2018-05 | 448 | 436 | 423 | 394 | 12.05 |
| 2018-06 | 442 | 431 | 417 | 388 | 12.22 |
| 2018-07 | 423 | 412 | 399 | 373 | 11.82 |
| 2018-08 | 414 | 404 | 392 | 368 | 11.11 |
| 2018-09 | 407 | 396 | 371 | 347 | 14.74 |
| 2018-10 | 423 | 411 | 393 | 355 | 16.08 |
| 2018-11 | 415 | 403 | 383 | 349 | 15.90 |
| 2018-12 | 396 | 386 | 356 | 331 | 16.41 |
| 2019-01 | 403 | 393 | 371 | 342 | 15.14 |
| 2019-02 | 384 | 376 | 360 | 315 | 17.97 |
| 2019-03 | 381 | 376 | 361 | 316 | 17.06 |
| 2019-04 | 374 | 365 | 350 | 314 | 16.04 |
| 2019-05 | 414 | 405 | 382 | 340 | 17.87 |
| 2019-06 | 427 | 413 | 398 | 345 | 19.20 |
| 2019-07 | 390 | 381 | 365 | 309 | 20.77 |
| 2019-08 | 408 | 398 | 359 | 304 | 25.49 |
| 2019-09 | 424 | 413 | 373 | 311 | 26.65 |
| 2019-10 | 422 | 411 | 367 | 307 | 27.25 |
| 2019-11 | 500 | 486 | 422 | 343 | 31.40 |
| 2019-12 | 532 | 517 | 454 | 356 | 33.08 |
| 2020-01 | 462 | 447 | 429 | 318 | 31.17 |
| 2020-02 | 504 | 484 | 462 | 360 | 28.57 |
| 2020-03 | 567 | 546 | 510 | 383 | 32.45 |
| 2020-04 | 557 | 539 | 504 | 375 | 32.68 |
| 2020-05 | 516 | 480 | 465 | 361 | 30.04 |
| 2020-06 | 511 | 496 | 458 | 384 | 24.85 |
| 2020-07 | 571 | 554 | 505 | 406 | 28.90 |
| 2020-08 | 600 | 580 | 521 | 412 | 31.33 |
| 2020-09 | 531 | 509 | 452 | 364 | 31.45 |
| 2020-10 | 537 | 516 | 461 | 372 | 30.73 |
| 2020-11 | 616 | 593 | 534 | 394 | 36.04 |
| 2020-12 | 612 | 589 | 539 | 420 | 31.37 |
| 2021-01 | 657 | 633 | 580 | 448 | 31.81 |
| 2021-02 | 733 | 710 | 650 | 506 | 30.97 |
| 2021-03 | 704 | 682 | 622 | 486 | 30.97 |
| 2021-04 | 768 | 752 | 686 | 536 | 30.21 |
| 2021-05 | 870 | 838 | 778 | 616 | 29.20 |
| 2021-06 | 835 | 808 | 748 | 612 | 26.71 |
| 2021-07 | 986 | 961 | 903 | 712 | 27.79 |
| 2021-08 | 1058 | 1026 | 977 | 856 | 19.09 |
| 2021-09 | 1152 | 1124 | 1072 | 962 | 16.49 |
| 2021-10 | 1240 | 1218 | 1168 | 1044 | 15.81 |
| 2021-11 | 1394 | 1365 | 1319 | 1215 | 12.84 |
| 2021-12 | 1417 | 1396 | 1340 | 1240 | 12.49 |
| 2022-01 | 1435 | 1415 | 1374 | 1289 | 10.17 |
| 2022-02 | 1421 | 1398 | 1343 | 1285 | 9.57 |
| 2022-03 | 1236 | 1214 | 1152 | 1100 | 11.00 |
| 2022-04 | 1276 | 1258 | 1184 | 1112 | 12.85 |
| 2022-05 | 1275 | 1250 | 1175 | 1111 | 12.86 |
| 2022-06 | 1366 | 1346 | 1254 | 1162 | 14.93 |
| 2022-07 | 1297 | 1271 | 1189 | 1097 | 15.42 |
| 2022-08 | 1325 | 1301 | 1216 | 1110 | 16.23 |
| 2022-09 | 1271 | 1250 | 1165 | 1067 | 16.05 |
| 2022-10 | 1000 | 979 | 904 | 814 | 18.60 |
| 2022-11 | 1004 | 979 | 915 | 839 | 16.43 |
| 2022-12 | 1030 | 1010 | 954 | 874 | 15.15 |
| 2023-01 | 1113 | 1069 | 1006 | 920 | 17.34 |
| 2023-02 | 1147 | 1108 | 1034 | 941 | 17.96 |
| 2023-03 | 1045 | 1023 | 969 | 884 | 15.41 |
| 2023-04 | 1069 | 1047 | 1001 | 900 | 15.81 |
| 2023-05 | 995 | 967 | 911 | 826 | 16.98 |
| 2023-06 | 806 | 783 | 744 | 666 | 17.37 |
| 2023-07 | 830 | 800 | 758 | 690 | 16.87 |
| 2023-08 | 827 | 797 | 755 | 704 | 14.87 |
| 2023-09 | 804 | 770 | 727 | 668 | 16.92 |
| 2023-10 | 879 | 857 | 811 | 732 | 16.72 |
| 2023-11 | 947 | 925 | 877 | 787 | 16.90 |
| 2023-12 | 1013 | 992 | 941 | 817 | 19.35 |
| 2024-01 | 1036 | 1017 | 958 | 852 | 17.76 |
| 2024-02 | 1009 | 991 | 935 | 846 | 16.15 |
| 2024-03 | 1044 | 1022 | 971 | 878 | 15.90 |
| 2024-04 | 1212 | 1182 | 1141 | 1048 | 13.53 |
| 2024-05 | 1270 | 1242 | 1191 | 1088 | 14.33 |
| 2024-06 | 1353 | 1326 | 1264 | 1138 | 15.89 |
| 2024-07 | 1390 | 1365 | 1304 | 1165 | 16.19 |
| 2024-08 | 1424 | 1395 | 1329 | 1200 | 15.73 |
| 2024-09 | 1506 | 1456 | 1386 | 1233 | 18.13 |
| 2024-10 | 1534 | 1483 | 1378 | 1269 | 17.28 |
| 2024-11 | 2058 | 2028 | 1916 | 1769 | 14.04 |
| 2024-12 | 2186 | 2150 | 2048 | 1911 | 12.58 |
| 2025-01 | 2451 | 2382 | 2272 | 2143 | 12.57 |
| 2025-02 | 2463 | 2418 | 2319 | 2103 | 14.62 |
| 2025-03 | 2515 | 2475 | 2334 | 2098 | 16.58 |
| 2025-04 | 2649 | 2587 | 2381 | 2125 | 19.78 |
| 2025-05 | 2327 | 2249 | 2055 | 1783 | 23.38 |
| 2025-06 | 1844 | 1789 | 1611 | 1336 | 27.55 |
| 2025-07 | 1830 | 1777 | 1659 | 1239 | 32.30 |
| 2025-08 | 2340 | 2289 | 2033 | 1688 | 27.86 |
| 2025-09 | 2149 | 2088 | 1925 | 1499 | 30.25 |
| 2025-10 | 2237 | 2176 | 1955 | 1546 | 30.89 |
| 2025-11 | 2249 | 2201 | 1943 | 1532 | 31.88 |
| 2025-12 | 2157 | 2100 | 1881 | 1464 | 32.13 |
| 2026-01 | 2014 | 1963 | 1735 | 1358 | 32.57 |
| 2026-02 | 1789 | 1732 | 1508 | 1227 | 31.41 |
| 2026-03 | 1871 | 1809 | 1557 | 1299 | 30.57 |
| 2026-04 | 1752 | 1699 | 1444 | 1160 | 33.79 |
| 2026-05 | 1553 | 1486 | 1267 | 1009 | 35.03 |
| 2026-06 | 1672 | 1601 | 1417 | 1194 | 28.59 |
| 2026-07 | 1733 | 1650 | 1409 | 1199 | 30.81 |